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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Mallorca

S T T

0–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mallorca 14. · Ath Bilbao 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Levante	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Osasuna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Granada	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Mallorca	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Betis	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Celta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Granada	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
5	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ath Bilbao	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Barcelona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.