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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Amiens
S T S T T
2–2
Full-time
Lyon
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 18. · Lyon 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 4 3 0 1 +8 9
2 Rennes 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Lille 5 3 0 2 +2 9
4 Nice 4 3 0 1 +2 9
5 Angers 5 3 0 2 +0 9
6 Lyon 4 2 1 1 +8 7
7 Reims 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Nantes 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Marseille 4 2 1 1 +0 7
10 Toulouse 4 2 1 1 -1 7
11 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Brest 4 1 2 1 -2 5
13 Nimes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Montpellier 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Metz 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 St Etienne 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Strasbourg 4 0 3 1 -2 3
18 Amiens 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Monaco 4 0 2 2 -6 2
20 Dijon 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Lyon
Fousseni Diabaté 🟨
3′
1–0 C. Jallet
7′
9′
M. Dembélé 1–1
F. Otero 🔁
↦ M. Konaté
23′
34′
M. Dembélé 1–2
Bertrand Traoré
Half-time 1–2
74′
🟨 Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
T. Monconduit 🔁
↦ A. Blin
75′
79′
🔁 Jean Lucas
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
82′
🔁 O. Solet Bomawoko
↦ Marcelo
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
85′
85′
🔁 M. Cornet
↦ M. Terrier
M. Bodmer 🔁
↦ F. Diabaté
87′
Haitam Aleesami 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Lucas Tousart
2–2 M. Bodmer
C. Jallet
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
13 C. Jallet D
27 A. Chedjou D
25 J. Lefort D
14 H. Aleesami D
10 G. Kakuta M
5 E. Gnahoré M
17 A. Blin M
15 M. Konaté F
9 S. Guirassy F
28 F. Diabaté M
Bench (7)
11 F. Otero
6 T. Monconduit
24 M. Bodmer
3 A. Calabresi
29 Q. Cornette
16 M. Dreyer
8 B. Zungu

Coach: L. Elsner

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
23 K. Tete D
3 J. Andersen D
14 L. Dubois D
29 L. Tousart M
17 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
7 M. Terrier F
8 H. Aouar M
10 Bertrand Traoré F
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
22 Jean Lucas
26 O. Solet Bomawoko
27 M. Cornet
25 M. Caqueret
4 Rafael
11 M. Depay
30 C. Tătărușanu

Coach: Sylvinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,07
U ✓
3,74
B
1,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.