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Süper Lig
Referee: A Bitigen
Goztep
T T S U S
2–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
33%
58%
Both score Ø 46%
33%
58%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
7 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Goztep 10. · Fenerbahce 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 13 8 3 2 +14 27
2 Alanyaspor 13 6 4 3 +11 22
3 Trabzonspor 12 6 4 2 +10 22
4 Buyuksehyr 12 6 4 2 +6 22
5 Fenerbahce 12 6 3 3 +9 21
6 Besiktas 12 6 3 3 +2 21
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 13 5 5 3 +12 20
8 Galatasaray 12 5 4 3 +3 19
9 Rizespor 13 5 2 6 -7 17
10 Goztep 12 4 4 4 -1 16
11 Gaziantep 12 4 4 4 -5 16
12 Genclerbirligi 13 3 5 5 +0 14
13 Denizlispor 12 4 2 6 -2 14
14 Konyaspor 13 3 4 6 -7 13
15 Kasimpasa 13 3 3 7 -5 12
16 Antalyaspor 12 3 3 6 -9 12
17 Ankaragücü 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Kayserispor 12 1 4 7 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Goztep Fenerbahce
1–0 Castro
7′
44′
S. Aziz 1–1
E. Belözoğlu
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Emre Belözoğlu
57′
🟨 Luiz Gustavo
61′
🟨 Altay Bayindir
61′
🟨 Nabil Dirar
63′
🟨 Deniz Türüç
2–1 A. Öztürk
63′
64′
🔁 V. Muriqi
↦ M. Jørgensen
68′
Garry Rodrigues 2–2
V. Muriqi
Lamine Gassama 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 Jaílson
↦ E. Belözoğlu
76′
🟨 Serdar Aziz
Marcio Mossoró 🔁
↦ S. Napoleoni
80′
82′
🔁 F. Kadıoğlu
↦ D. Türüç
89′
🟨 Jailson Siqueira
90′
🟨 Luiz Gustavo
90′
🟥 Luiz Gustavo
D. Kadah 🔁
↦ C. Jerome
90′
Y. Öztekin 🔁
↦ S. Gürler
98′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Goztep

4-2-3-1
13 Beto G
4 Titi D
20 L. Gassama D
41 B. Emir D
8 Castro M
88 S. Aydoğdu M
11 S. Gürler M
5 A. Öztürk D
7 H. Akbunar M
99 S. Napoleoni M
32 C. Jerome F
Bench (10)
10 Marcio Mossoró
63 D. Kadah
23 Y. Öztekin
6 C. Borges
9 E. Derdiyok
1 M. Bakırbaş
33 A. Nukan
25 Wallace
30 Y. Kayan
55 L. Schwechlen

Coach: E. Parlatan

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
98 A. Bayındır G
15 S. Aziz D
32 M. Jørgensen D
5 E. Belözoğlu M
20 Luiz Gustavo M
17 N. Dirar D
11 V. Moses M
24 Garry Rodrigues M
23 D. Türüç M
7 O. Tufan D
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (10)
94 V. Muriqi
25 Jaílson
16 F. Kadıoğlu
3 H. Kaldırım
14 T. Ciğerci
21 M. Zajc
18 S. Çiftpınar
6 T. Arslan
26 A. Potuk
35 H. Tekin

Coach: E. Yanal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,16
U ✓
3,30
B
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.