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Süper Lig
Referee: F Aydınus
Trabzonspor
T S S S U
0–1
Full-time
Goztep
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
22%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
78%
44%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,4
2,1
Scored
2,1
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 4. · Goztep 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 9 5 3 1 +8 18
2 Fenerbahce 9 5 2 2 +9 17
3 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 5 1 3 +12 16
4 Trabzonspor 9 4 4 1 +7 16
5 Galatasaray 10 4 4 2 +2 16
6 Sivasspor 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Buyuksehyr 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Konyaspor 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Besiktas 9 3 3 3 -1 12
10 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 -4 12
11 Kasimpasa 9 3 2 4 -1 11
12 Denizlispor 9 3 2 4 -1 11
13 Antalyaspor 9 3 2 4 -7 11
14 Rizespor 10 3 2 5 -8 11
15 Goztep 9 2 3 4 -3 9
16 Ankaragücü 9 2 3 4 -7 9
17 Genclerbirligi 10 1 4 5 -2 7
18 Kayserispor 9 0 4 5 -11 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Goztep
31′
C. Jerome 0–1
L. Gassama
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Soner Aydoğdu
D. Avdijaj 🔁
↦ A. Canbaz
46′
K. Çörekçi 🔁
↦ D. Erdoğan
46′
46′
🔁 M. Paluli
↦ L. Gassama
56′
🟨 Cameron Jerome
70′
🔁 D. Kadah
↦ H. Akbunar
75′
🟨 Marcio Mossoró
K. Kılınç 🔁
↦ D. Avdijaj
82′
89′
🔁 A. Nukan
↦ S. Aydoğdu
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
47 João Pereira D
77 F. Novák D
14 Ivanildo Fernandes D
4 H. Türkmen D
8 J. Sosa M
21 D. Erdoğan M
38 A. Canbaz M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
11 A. Sørloth F
20 Y. Sarı M
Bench (9)
7 D. Avdijaj
2 K. Çörekçi
67 K. Kılınç
22 G. Campi
33 A. Dursun
41 C. Tosun
26 F. Üzüm
16 E. Kardeşler
5 M. Hosseini

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Goztep

13 Beto G
4 Titi D
20 L. Gassama D
41 B. Emir D
10 Marcio Mossoró F
8 Castro M
6 C. Borges M
88 S. Aydoğdu M
5 A. Öztürk D
7 H. Akbunar F
32 C. Jerome F
Bench (10)
77 M. Paluli
63 D. Kadah
33 A. Nukan
9 E. Derdiyok
23 Y. Öztekin
54 B. Kırdaroğlu
99 S. Napoleoni
30 Y. Kayan
1 M. Bakırbaş
55 L. Schwechlen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,66
U
3,80
B ✓
5,02
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Aydınus · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.