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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Willem II

S S T S U

4–0

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

50%

36%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

79%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

4 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 7. · Sparta Rotterdam 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	10	2	2	+26	32
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	8	3	3	+13	27
4	Heerenveen	15	6	6	3	+6	24
5	Utrecht	14	7	2	5	+7	23
6	Vitesse	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Willem II	14	7	2	5	-2	23
8	Heracles	14	6	3	5	+3	21
9	Groningen	14	6	3	5	+3	21
10	Feyenoord	14	5	6	3	+1	21
11	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	4	5	+0	19
12	Twente	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	FC Emmen	14	4	2	8	-12	14
14	Zwolle	14	4	1	9	-11	13
15	For Sittard	14	3	3	8	-16	12
16	VVV Venlo	14	4	0	10	-24	12
17	Den Haag	14	3	2	9	-9	11
18	Waalwijk	14	1	2	11	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+14	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Utrecht	7	5	0	2	+11	15
5	Heerenveen	8	3	5	0	+3	14
6	Heracles	7	4	1	2	+8	13
7	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	1	2	+6	13
8	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+6	13
9	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+4	13
10	FC Emmen	7	4	1	2	+4	13
11	Willem II	7	4	1	2	+1	13
12	Feyenoord	7	3	3	1	+3	12
13	Twente	7	3	2	2	+4	11
14	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+4	11
15	Zwolle	7	3	1	3	+0	10
16	VVV Venlo	7	3	0	4	-9	9
17	Den Haag	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Waalwijk	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	+3	10
5	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-2	10
6	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-3	10
7	Feyenoord	7	2	3	2	-2	9
8	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Twente	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Den Haag	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	Zwolle	7	1	0	6	-11	3
15	VVV Venlo	7	1	0	6	-15	3
16	Waalwijk	7	0	1	6	-15	1
17	FC Emmen	7	0	1	6	-16	1
18	For Sittard	7	0	1	6	-20	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.