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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Liverpool
U S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Brighton
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 62%
92%
31%
Points per game
2,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
85%
46%
Both score Ø 62%
85%
38%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 6
3 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 1. · Brighton 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 13 12 1 0 +19 37
2 Man City 14 9 2 3 +23 29
3 Leicester 13 9 2 2 +23 29
4 Chelsea 13 8 2 3 +9 26
5 Wolves 13 4 7 2 +2 19
6 Sheffield United 13 4 6 3 +4 18
7 Burnley 13 5 3 5 +2 18
8 Arsenal 13 4 6 3 -1 18
9 Man United 13 4 5 4 +4 17
10 Tottenham 13 4 5 4 +2 17
11 Bournemouth 13 4 4 5 -1 16
12 Newcastle 14 4 4 6 -9 16
13 Brighton 13 4 3 6 -4 15
14 Crystal Palace 13 4 3 6 -7 15
15 Aston Villa 13 4 2 7 -1 14
16 Everton 13 4 2 7 -7 14
17 West Ham 13 3 4 6 -7 13
18 Norwich 13 3 1 9 -15 10
19 Southampton 13 2 3 8 -18 9
20 Watford 13 1 5 7 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,21
U
6,85
B
14,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.