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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Heracles
U S T S T
4–0
Full-time
Den Haag
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
21%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 8. · Den Haag 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 12 2 0 +37 38
2 AZ Alkmaar 14 10 2 2 +26 32
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 8 3 3 +13 27
4 Willem II 15 8 2 5 +2 26
5 Heerenveen 15 6 6 3 +6 24
6 Utrecht 14 7 2 5 +7 23
7 Vitesse 15 7 2 6 +2 23
8 Heracles 14 6 3 5 +3 21
9 Groningen 15 6 3 6 +2 21
10 Feyenoord 14 5 6 3 +1 21
11 Sparta Rotterdam 15 5 4 6 -4 19
12 Twente 14 5 3 6 -2 18
13 For Sittard 15 4 3 8 -15 15
14 FC Emmen 14 4 2 8 -12 14
15 Zwolle 14 4 1 9 -11 13
16 VVV Venlo 14 4 0 10 -24 12
17 Den Haag 14 3 2 9 -9 11
18 Waalwijk 14 1 2 11 -22 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Den Haag
1–0 C. Dessers
A. Merkel
22′
J. Hardeveld 🔁
↦ L. Czyborra
32′
2–0 Mauro Júnior
T. Breukers
39′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 C. Dessers
Mohammed Osman
57′
58′
🔁 B. Ould-Chikh
↦ T. Haye
Jeff Hardeveld 🟨
62′
4–0 A. Merkel
C. Dessers
65′
69′
🔁 D. Bakker
↦ J. Goossens
D. dos Santos 🔁
↦ Mohammed Osman
72′
77′
🔁 A. Bjelica
↦ T. Beugelsdijk
J. Konings 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
86′
Robin Propper 🟨
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
13 M. Knoester D
3 L. Czyborra D
52 A. Merkel M
10 Mauro Júnior F
22 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 Mohammed Osman M
9 C. Dessers F
11 S. van der Water F
Bench (10)
34 J. Hardeveld
24 D. dos Santos
25 J. Konings
16 M. Brouwer
23 M. Rossmann
6 D. Van den Buijs
17 A. Szöke
26 K. Bucker
8 T. Bijleveld
21 S. Jakubiak

Coach: F. Wormuth

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 L. Koopmans G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
19 S. Pinas D
30 E. Falkenburg F
10 L. Immers M
2 D. Malone D
11 J. Goossens M
20 T. Haye M
9 T. Necid F
14 C. Summerville F
Bench (10)
7 B. Ould-Chikh
17 D. Bakker
3 A. Bjelica
29 M. Kramer
6 D. Gorter
15 D. Muringen
25 R. Polley
22 R. Zwinkels
77 E. Hooi
18 M. Havekotte

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,31
B
5,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.