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Süper Lig
Referee: Mete Kalkavan
Karagumruk
U T T S S
1–4
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,3
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 53%
39%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
78%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

28% Possession 72%
10 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 8. · Besiktas 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 18 12 2 4 +20 38
2 Fenerbahce 18 12 2 4 +16 38
3 Galatasaray 19 11 3 5 +23 36
4 Gaziantep 19 9 7 3 +10 34
5 Hatayspor 19 9 4 6 +4 31
6 Alanyaspor 18 9 3 6 +13 30
7 Trabzonspor 19 8 6 5 +1 30
8 Karagumruk 18 7 6 5 +6 27
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 19 7 6 6 +2 27
10 Goztep 19 6 7 6 +6 25
11 Antalyaspor 19 6 7 6 -6 25
12 Rizespor 19 6 6 7 -8 24
13 Sivasspor 18 5 8 5 -2 23
14 Buyuksehyr 19 6 5 8 -6 23
15 Konyaspor 19 6 4 9 +0 22
16 Kasimpasa 18 6 4 8 -8 22
17 Kayserispor 19 5 4 10 -9 19
18 Genclerbirligi 19 5 4 10 -19 19
19 Erzurumspor 19 4 4 11 -16 16
20 Ankaragücü 18 4 3 11 -9 15
21 Denizlispor 19 3 5 11 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Besiktas
Koray Altınay 🟨
30′
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad 🟨
33′
S. Ahmetoğlu 🔁
↦ V. Hedenstad
38′
44′
V. Aboubakar 0–1
G. N'Koudou
Half-time 0–2
50′
B. Mensah 0–2
E. Çolak 🔁
↦ K. Altınay
54′
66′
C. Larin 0–3
R. Yılmaz
70′
B. Mensah 0–4
71′
🔁 G. Töre
↦ G. NKoudou
71′
🔁 D. Toköz
↦ B. Mensah
74′
🔁 A. Ljajić
↦ A. Hutchinson
J. Durmaz 🔁
↦ A. Ndao
77′
M. Erdinç 🔁
↦ A. Sobiech
77′
1–4 F. Borini
78′
82′
ℹ️ Adem Ljajić
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
2 E. Viviano G
3 A. Erdem D
26 V. Hedenstad D
4 K. Altınay M
37 G. Campi D
22 F. Kuruçuk D
91 A. Bertolacci M
20 P. N'Diaye M
18 A. Ndao M
9 A. Sobiech F
16 F. Borini M
Bench (10)
27 S. Ahmetoğlu
96 E. Çolak
71 J. Durmaz
11 M. Erdinç
93 A. Özer
14 E. Tatlı
17 M. Pehlivan
23 A. Aktaş
19 Y. Salibur
21 M. Sarıgül

Coach: A. Canel

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
2 V. Rosier D
4 Javi Montero D
33 R. Yılmaz D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
7 G. N'Koudou M
43 B. Mensah M
14 V. Aboubakar F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
70 G. Töre
26 D. Toköz
22 A. Ljajić
97 U. Yuvakuran
18 R. Ghezzal
46 S. Saatçı
27 A. Üner
23 Welinton
20 N. Uysal
10 O. Özyakup

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,62
U
3,67
B ✓
1,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mete Kalkavan · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.