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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Palabıyık
Hatayspor
S T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 60%
50%
69%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
69%
Both score Ø 41%
31%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 6. · Besiktas 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 16 11 1 4 +18 34
2 Galatasaray 17 10 3 4 +20 33
3 Fenerbahce 16 10 2 4 +11 32
4 Gaziantep 17 8 7 2 +12 31
5 Alanyaspor 17 9 3 5 +14 30
6 Hatayspor 16 8 3 5 +3 27
7 Trabzonspor 17 7 5 5 -1 26
8 Karagumruk 17 6 6 5 +4 24
9 Antalyaspor 18 6 6 6 -6 24
10 Konyaspor 17 6 4 7 +3 22
11 Sivasspor 17 5 7 5 -2 22
12 Buyuksehyr 17 6 4 7 -4 22
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 5 6 6 -2 21
14 Rizespor 17 5 6 6 -8 21
15 Goztep 17 4 7 6 +1 19
16 Kasimpasa 16 5 4 7 -8 19
17 Genclerbirligi 17 5 4 8 -13 19
18 Kayserispor 17 4 4 9 -10 16
19 Ankaragücü 17 4 3 10 -7 15
20 Denizlispor 17 3 5 9 -11 14
21 Erzurumspor 17 3 4 10 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Besiktas
6′
V. Aboubakar 0–1
R. Ghezzal
1–1 A. Boupendza
D. Akintola
7′
2–1 A. Boupendza
M. Çaytemel
23′
41′
C. Larin 2–2
R. Ghezzal
Aaron-Salem Boupendza 🟨
44′
Rayane Aabid 🟨
44′
Jean Claude Billong 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
64′
🔁 O. Özyakup
↦ N. Uysal
68′
🔁 G. N'Koudou
↦ R. Ghezzal
I. Sackey 🔁
↦ Noss Traoré
74′
M. Kamara 🔁
↦ S. Ilgaz
80′
84′
🟨 Welinton
Pablo Santos 🟨
88′
M. Aydın 🔁
↦ A. Boupendza
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
34 A. Alkan G
16 M. Çaytemel D
90 S. Popov D
14 Pablo D
6 J. Billong D
88 Rúben Ribeiro M
10 S. Ilgaz M
8 R. Aabid M
28 Noss Traoré M
17 D. Akintola M
9 A. Boupendza F
Bench (10)
5 I. Sackey
30 M. Kamara
20 M. Aydın
41 J. Akomadi
3 A. Katranis
33 Y. Boyar
23 A. Canlı
18 M. Altınöz
4 S. Örnek
2 B. Çamoglu

Coach: M. Sönmez

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
20 N. Uysal M
18 R. Ghezzal M
14 V. Aboubakar F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
10 O. Özyakup
7 G. N'Koudou
27 A. Üner
26 D. Toköz
41 K. Yılmaz
33 R. Yılmaz
19 A. Hasić
9 G. Yalçın
97 U. Yuvakuran
4 Javi Montero

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,32
U ✓
3,55
B
2,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ali Palabıyık · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.