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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Palabıyık
Karagumruk
U S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Trabzonspor
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 35%
36%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
33%
Both score Ø 62%
71%
53%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 7. · Trabzonspor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 16 9 3 4 +15 30
2 Galatasaray 15 9 3 3 +15 30
3 Gaziantep 15 7 7 1 +11 28
4 Besiktas 14 9 1 4 +10 28
5 Hatayspor 15 8 3 4 +5 27
6 Fenerbahce 14 8 2 4 +7 26
7 Karagumruk 14 5 6 3 +6 21
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 15 5 5 5 -1 20
9 Rizespor 15 5 5 5 -2 20
10 Trabzonspor 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Goztep 15 4 7 4 +3 19
12 Konyaspor 15 5 4 6 +3 19
13 Kasimpasa 15 5 4 6 -5 19
14 Sivasspor 15 4 6 5 -3 18
15 Antalyaspor 16 4 6 6 -9 18
16 Buyuksehyr 15 4 4 7 -6 16
17 Genclerbirligi 15 4 4 7 -9 16
18 Ankaragücü 15 4 3 8 -4 15
19 Denizlispor 15 3 4 8 -10 13
20 Erzurumspor 16 3 4 9 -13 13
21 Kayserispor 14 2 4 8 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Trabzonspor
12′
ℹ️ Caleb Ekuban
VAR: Goal cancelled
13′
🟨 Majid Hosseini
V. Arveladze 🔁
↦ L. Biglia
35′
37′
🟨 Abdulkadir Parmak
Half-time 0–1
46′
A. Nwakaeme 0–1
S. Asan
Jure Balkovec 🟨
48′
Vato Arveladze 🟨
57′
60′
🟨 Marlon
1–1 J. Balkovec
70′
M. Erdinç 🔁
↦ A. Erdem
72′
72′
🔁 A. Ömür
↦ Flavio
M. Pehlivan 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
79′
81′
C. Ekuban 1–2
83′
🔁 B. Afobe
↦ Djaniny
90′
🟨 Lewis Baker
91′
🔁 K. Çörekçi
↦ C. Ekuban
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
3 A. Erdem M
5 E. Roco D
29 J. Balkovec D
4 K. Altınay M
22 F. Kuruçuk D
6 L. Biglia M
71 J. Durmaz M
20 P. N'Diaye M
28 R. Civelek D
9 A. Sobiech F
Bench (7)
24 V. Arveladze
11 M. Erdinç
17 M. Pehlivan
21 M. Sarıgül
14 E. Tatlı
23 A. Aktaş
93 A. Özer

Coach: A. Canel

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
32 Edgar Ié D
5 M. Hosseini D
3 Marlon Xavier D
99 S. Asan D
8 L. Baker M
61 A. Parmak M
24 Flavio M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
21 Djaniny F
18 C. Ekuban M
Bench (10)
10 A. Ömür
79 B. Afobe
23 K. Çörekçi
4 H. Türkmen
19 S. Kınalı
75 F. Genç
16 E. Kardeşler
7 Y. Sarı
47 João Pereira
22 G. Campi

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U
3,40
B ✓
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ali Palabıyık · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.