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Süper Lig
Referee: Turgut Doman
Erzurumspor
S U T T S
1–1
Full-time
Alanyaspor
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
21%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
63%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
3 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Erzurumspor 19. · Alanyaspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 18 12 2 4 +20 38
2 Fenerbahce 18 12 2 4 +16 38
3 Galatasaray 19 11 3 5 +23 36
4 Gaziantep 19 9 7 3 +10 34
5 Hatayspor 19 9 4 6 +4 31
6 Alanyaspor 18 9 3 6 +13 30
7 Trabzonspor 19 8 6 5 +1 30
8 Karagumruk 18 7 6 5 +6 27
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 19 7 6 6 +2 27
10 Goztep 19 6 7 6 +6 25
11 Antalyaspor 19 6 7 6 -6 25
12 Rizespor 19 6 6 7 -8 24
13 Sivasspor 18 5 8 5 -2 23
14 Buyuksehyr 19 6 5 8 -6 23
15 Konyaspor 19 6 4 9 +0 22
16 Kasimpasa 18 6 4 8 -8 22
17 Kayserispor 19 5 4 10 -9 19
18 Genclerbirligi 19 5 4 10 -19 19
19 Erzurumspor 19 4 4 11 -16 16
20 Ankaragücü 18 4 3 11 -9 15
21 Denizlispor 19 3 5 11 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Erzurumspor Alanyaspor
Leo Schwechlen 🟨
12′
1–0 E. Başsan
C. Alkılıç
31′
32′
🟨 Davidson
42′
🟨 Khouma Babacar
Half-time 1–0
Mehmet Murat Uçar 🟨
53′
58′
A. Bakasetas 1–1
A. Bareiro
A. Novikovas 🔁
↦ C. Alkılıç
61′
Adolphe Teikeu 🟨
62′
M. Donald 🔁
↦ P. Boumal
68′
O. Karakullukçu 🔁
↦ Ricardo Gomes
68′
73′
🔁 D. Kądzior
↦ A. Bareiro
83′
🔁 M. Pektemek
↦ K. Babacar
83′
🔁 C. Gülselam
↦ S. Uçan
Ö. Şişmanoğlu 🔁
↦ E. Başsan
84′
O. Çelik 🔁
↦ J. Omolo
84′
Oltan Karakullukçu 🟨
89′
90′
🟥 Georgios Tzavellas
91′
🔁 Juanfran
↦ Davidson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Erzurumspor

4-2-3-1
29 J. Szumski G
27 M. da Costa D
30 A. Teikeu D
99 C. Alkılıç M
22 L. Schwechlen D
8 J. Omolo M
92 A. Chahechouhe M
17 E. Başsan M
13 P. Boumal M
77 M. Uçar D
91 Ricardo Gomes F
Bench (10)
11 A. Novikovas
20 M. Donald
61 O. Karakullukçu
7 Ö. Şişmanoğlu
88 O. Çelik
5 H. Hatipoğlu
23 G. Kardeş
70 B. Darri
33 K. Erdoğan
53 M. Albayrak

Coach: M. Bakkal

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
5 F. Aksoy D
8 S. Uçan M
22 B. Kutlu M
10 K. Babacar M
11 A. Bakasetas M
91 Davidson M
9 A. Bareiro F
Bench (10)
92 D. Kądzior
19 M. Pektemek
6 C. Gülselam
24 Juanfran
14 H. Acar
13 A. Güney
27 U. Güneş
75 T. Bingöl
3 A. Gülay
23 E. Bekiroglu

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,66
U ✓
3,86
B
1,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.