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Referee: J Vergoote

Waregem

S S S S S

2–3

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 49%

52%

46%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

64%

75%

Both score Ø 68%

56%

79%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

11 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 8

5 Corners 9

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 2. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	21	13	4	4	+28	43
2	Waregem	25	13	3	9	+6	42
3	Antwerp	21	12	5	4	+13	41
4	Genk	22	11	7	4	+17	40
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	24	11	6	7	+6	39
6	Charleroi	24	10	4	10	+1	34
7	Eupen	24	8	10	6	-3	34
8	Anderlecht	21	8	9	4	+11	33
9	Standard	21	9	6	6	+6	33
10	Beerschot VA	24	10	3	11	-7	33
11	Kortrijk	24	9	5	10	-4	32
12	Mechelen	21	9	4	8	-1	31
13	Gent	21	9	2	10	+6	29
14	Oostende	21	8	5	8	+3	29
15	St Truiden	24	7	6	11	-6	27
16	Cercle Brugge	24	7	1	16	-10	22
17	Mouscron	22	5	6	11	-13	21
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	22	5	6	11	-13	21
19	Waasland-Beveren	22	5	5	12	-20	20
20	Beveren	22	5	5	12	-20	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	12	7	2	3	+6	23
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Genk	10	6	4	0	+15	22
4	Club Brugge	11	7	1	3	+10	22
5	Antwerp	11	6	4	1	+7	22
6	Oostende	11	6	3	2	+10	21
7	Anderlecht	10	5	5	0	+10	20
8	Kortrijk	14	6	2	6	-2	20
9	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-5	17
10	Standard	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	St Truiden	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Charleroi	11	5	1	5	+2	16
13	Eupen	12	4	4	4	-2	16
14	Mechelen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
15	Mouscron	11	3	4	4	+0	13
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	3	4	4	+0	13
17	Gent	9	3	1	5	+3	10
18	Cercle Brugge	12	3	0	9	-6	9
19	Waasland-Beveren	10	2	1	7	-13	7
20	Beveren	10	2	1	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+18	21
3	Antwerp	10	6	1	3	+6	19
4	Gent	12	6	1	5	+3	19
5	Genk	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Charleroi	13	5	3	5	-1	18
7	Eupen	12	4	6	2	-1	18
8	Standard	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Mechelen	9	5	2	2	+0	17
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Anderlecht	11	3	4	4	+1	13
12	Cercle Brugge	12	4	1	7	-4	13
13	Waasland-Beveren	12	3	4	5	-7	13
14	Beveren	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Kortrijk	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	St Truiden	12	3	2	7	-8	11
17	Beerschot VA	12	3	1	8	-13	10
18	Oostende	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.