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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
Gaziantep
S T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Hatayspor
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 43%
37%
48%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
48%
59%
Both score Ø 48%
44%
52%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 3
5 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gaziantep 11. · Hatayspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 28 20 7 1 +31 67
2 Konyaspor 28 15 7 6 +15 52
3 Fenerbahce 28 13 8 7 +11 47
4 Buyuksehyr 27 14 4 9 +13 46
5 Alanyaspor 28 13 7 8 +9 46
6 Ad. Demirspor 28 12 9 7 +14 45
7 Besiktas 27 12 8 7 +6 44
8 Hatayspor 27 13 3 11 -1 42
9 Karagumruk 28 11 7 10 -7 40
10 Kayserispor 28 10 8 10 -1 38
11 Gaziantep 27 10 6 11 -3 36
12 Galatasaray 28 9 8 11 -4 35
13 Antalyaspor 28 9 8 11 -6 35
14 Sivasspor 28 8 10 10 +0 34
15 Kasimpasa 28 8 8 12 -2 32
16 Giresunspor 28 9 5 14 -3 32
17 Goztep 28 7 6 15 -10 27
18 Altay 28 7 5 16 -12 26
19 Rizespor 28 6 5 17 -25 23
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 28 5 5 18 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Hatayspor
1–0 A. Maxim
O. Ceylan
5′
Furkan Soyalp 🟨
15′
20′
S. Caulker 2–0
own goal
23′
🔁 E. Kaplan
↦ S. Baş
30′
A. El Kaabi 2–1
S. Lobzhanidze
40′
🟨 Onur Ergun
Half-time 2–1
A. Vetrih 🔁
↦ D. Erdoğan
46′
S. Kitsiou 🔁
↦ O. Ceylan
57′
M. Demir 🔁
↦ F. Soyalp
57′
73′
🟨 Sam Adekugbe
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ A. Toșca
76′
3–1 A. Maxim
79′
80′
🔁 D. Saint-Louis
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
M. Cihan 🔁
↦ João Figueiredo
86′
93′
🔁 B. Yıldırım
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Gaziantep

3-5-2
71 M. Bozan G
45 S. Caulker D
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
17 O. Ceylan M
44 A. Maxim F
20 R. Niyaz M
5 F. Soyalp M
21 D. Erdoğan M
28 Á. Sagal M
25 João Figueiredo F
Bench (9)
74 A. Vetrih
70 S. Kitsiou
10 M. Demir
18 A. El Messaoudi
26 M. Cihan
91 B. Gölgeli
16 P. Olkowski
23 E. Kılıçarslan
80 L. Stankovski

Coach: E. Bulut

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
5 I. Sackey D
77 S. Baş D
4 O. Ergün M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
37 E. Kaplan
95 D. Saint-Louis
99 B. Yıldırım
19 M. Mert
6 S. Falette
33 Y. Boyar
87 E. Fansa
16 S. Temel
31 A. Yiğiter
9 Kahraba

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U ✓
3,38
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.