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Ligue 2

Toulouse

U S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Dunkerque

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 43%

58%

27%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

58%

31%

Both score Ø 46%

54%

38%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 4

20 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Toulouse 1. · Dunkerque 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	26	15	9	2	+37	54
2	Paris FC	27	15	7	5	+17	52
3	Ajaccio	27	15	6	6	+11	51
4	Auxerre	27	13	9	5	+13	48
5	Sochaux	27	13	8	6	+6	47
6	Le Havre	27	10	11	6	+3	41
7	Pau FC	27	11	5	11	-1	38
8	Nimes	27	10	6	11	-3	36
9	Niort	27	10	5	12	+0	35
10	Guingamp	27	8	10	9	-6	34
11	Amiens	27	7	12	8	+9	33
12	Dijon	27	10	3	14	-5	33
13	Caen	27	8	8	11	+3	32
14	Valenciennes	27	7	10	10	-9	31
15	Bastia	27	6	12	9	+0	30
16	Rodez	27	7	9	11	-8	30
17	Quevilly Rouen	27	7	8	12	-14	29
18	Grenoble	27	8	4	15	-15	28
19	Dunkerque	26	7	6	13	-11	27
20	Nancy	27	4	8	15	-27	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	8	4	1	+24	28
2	Paris FC	13	8	4	1	+12	28
3	Pau FC	14	9	1	4	+9	28
4	Ajaccio	13	8	3	2	+9	27
5	Sochaux	14	7	4	3	+4	25
6	Amiens	14	6	4	4	+12	22
7	Auxerre	13	6	4	3	+10	22
8	Bastia	14	3	11	0	+7	20
9	Niort	13	6	2	5	+5	20
10	Guingamp	13	5	5	3	+2	20
11	Le Havre	14	5	5	4	+1	20
12	Dijon	14	6	2	6	+0	20
13	Caen	14	6	1	7	+6	19
14	Nimes	14	5	4	5	+0	19
15	Grenoble	13	6	1	6	-1	19
16	Dunkerque	14	4	5	5	-2	17
17	Rodez	13	3	6	4	-2	15
18	Quevilly Rouen	13	3	6	4	-4	15
19	Valenciennes	13	4	2	7	-7	14
20	Nancy	13	3	4	6	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	7	5	1	+13	26
2	Auxerre	14	7	5	2	+3	26
3	Paris FC	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Ajaccio	14	7	3	4	+2	24
5	Sochaux	13	6	4	3	+2	22
6	Le Havre	13	5	6	2	+2	21
7	Valenciennes	14	3	8	3	-2	17
8	Nimes	13	5	2	6	-3	17
9	Niort	14	4	3	7	-5	15
10	Rodez	14	4	3	7	-6	15
11	Guingamp	14	3	5	6	-8	14
12	Quevilly Rouen	14	4	2	8	-10	14
13	Caen	13	2	7	4	-3	13
14	Dijon	13	4	1	8	-5	13
15	Amiens	13	1	8	4	-3	11
16	Bastia	13	3	1	9	-7	10
17	Dunkerque	12	3	1	8	-9	10
18	Pau FC	13	2	4	7	-10	10
19	Grenoble	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Nancy	14	1	4	9	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.