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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz
Ath Bilbao
S S T S T
3–1
Full-time
Levante
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 24%
35%
12%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 27 19 6 2 +35 63
2 Sevilla 27 15 10 2 +21 55
3 Barcelona 26 13 9 4 +19 48
4 Ath Madrid 27 14 6 7 +15 48
5 Betis 27 14 4 9 +14 46
6 Sociedad 27 12 8 7 -1 44
7 Villarreal 27 11 9 7 +21 42
8 Ath Bilbao 26 9 10 7 +4 37
9 Valencia 27 9 9 9 -2 36
10 Celta 27 9 8 10 +2 35
11 Osasuna 27 9 8 10 -5 35
12 Espanol 27 8 8 11 -7 32
13 Vallecano 26 9 4 13 -4 31
14 Elche 27 7 8 12 -10 29
15 Getafe 27 6 9 12 -6 27
16 Mallorca 27 6 8 13 -19 26
17 Granada 27 5 10 12 -15 25
18 Cadiz 27 4 12 11 -16 24
19 Alaves 27 5 7 15 -23 22
20 Levante 26 3 9 14 -23 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Levante
Álex Berenguer 🟨
14′
20′
🟨 Jorge Miramón
37′
🟨 Son
Half-time 0–0
47′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ Morales
Dani Vivian 🔁
↦ Íñigo Martínez
55′
1–0 Mikel Vesga
Álex Berenguer
63′
71′
🔁 Cantero
↦ M. Cáceres
71′
🔁 M. Malsa
↦ Melero
Nico Williams 🔁
↦ Muniain
73′
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
73′
2–0 Williams
Álex Berenguer
76′
Alex Petxarroman 🔁
↦ Unai Vencedor
78′
Asier Villalibre 🔁
↦ Williams
79′
84′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Roger Martí
84′
🔁 Enric Franquesa
↦ Son
3–0 Oier Zarraga
88′
91′
Jorge de Frutos 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-4-2
1 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
17 Yuri D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
5 Yeray D
6 Mikel Vesga M
8 Oihan Sancet F
16 Unai Vencedor M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams F
7 Álex Berenguer M
Bench (12)
12 Dani Vivian
30 Nico Williams
19 Oier Zarraga
2 Alex Petxarroman
20 Asier Villalibre
14 Dani García
33 Nico Serrano
3 Unai Núñez
24 Balenziaga
22 Raúl García
15 Lekue
13 Jokin Ezkieta

Coach: Marcelino

Levante

3-4-3
34 Dani Cárdenas G
7 M. Cáceres D
6 Ó. Duarte D
20 Miramón M
2 Son M
4 Rober D
11 Morales F
22 Melero M
8 Pepelu M
9 Roger Martí F
18 Jorge de Frutos F
Bench (12)
10 E. Bardhi
29 Cantero
12 M. Malsa
21 Dani Gómez
3 Enric Franquesa
17 N. Vukčević
1 Aitor Fernández
14 Rúben Vezo
42 Marc Pubill
16 Soldado
5 N. Radoja
23 Coke

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
U
4,15
B
6,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.