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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Trabzonspor
U S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 54%
66%
41%
Points per game
2,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
30 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 1
11 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
15 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 1. · Karagumruk 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 32 21 9 2 +32 72
2 Fenerbahce 32 17 8 7 +21 59
3 Konyaspor 32 17 7 8 +17 58
4 Buyuksehyr 32 16 5 11 +14 53
5 Ad. Demirspor 32 14 10 8 +16 52
6 Alanyaspor 32 15 7 10 +6 52
7 Besiktas 32 13 11 8 +8 50
8 Hatayspor 32 14 6 12 -1 48
9 Antalyaspor 32 13 8 11 +2 47
10 Karagumruk 32 13 7 12 -8 46
11 Kayserispor 33 11 9 13 -8 42
12 Kasimpasa 32 11 8 13 +2 41
13 Sivasspor 32 10 11 11 +0 41
14 Gaziantep 32 11 8 13 -3 41
15 Galatasaray 32 11 8 13 -5 41
16 Giresunspor 32 11 6 15 -4 39
17 Rizespor 33 8 6 19 -26 30
18 Altay 32 8 5 19 -15 29
19 Goztep 32 7 6 19 -18 27
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 32 5 5 22 -30 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Karagumruk
Y. Erdoğan 🔁
↦ H. Türkmen
6′
16′
🟨 Aleksandar Pešić
36′
🟨 Davide Biraschi
Half-time 0–0
A. Ömür 🔁
↦ Y. Erdoğan
46′
A. Nwakaeme 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
46′
Yusuf Erdoğan 🟨
47′
48′
ℹ️ Levent Mercan
VAR: Penalty cancelled
49′
L. Biglia 0–1
50′
🟨 Derrick Luckassen
1–1 Vitor Hugo
S. Denswil
58′
62′
🔁 F. Borini
↦ Y. Karamoh
73′
🔁 A. Touré
↦ A. Musa
74′
🔁 S. Onur
↦ L. Mercan
F. Koita 🔁
↦ M. Hamšík
85′
J. Kouassi 🔁
↦ Djaniny
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
13 Vitor Hugo D
33 Bruno Peres D
24 S. Denswil D
4 H. Türkmen D
17 M. Hamšík M
18 E. Višća M
8 D. Toköz M
11 A. Bakasetas M
21 Djaniny M
14 A. Cornelius F
Bench (10)
20 Y. Erdoğan
10 A. Ömür
9 A. Nwakaeme
19 F. Koita
77 J. Kouassi
99 S. Asan
6 E. Siopis
16 E. Kardeşler
70 A. Kaplan
29 Y. Mallı

Coach: A. Avcı

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
4 D. Biraschi D
25 D. Luckassen D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
6 L. Biglia M
23 K. Bistrović M
18 L. Mercan M
72 A. Pešić F
7 A. Musa M
92 Y. Karamoh M
Bench (9)
16 F. Borini
94 A. Touré
22 S. Onur
90 B. Demircan
30 S. Dursun
60 A. Erdem
21 U. Yuvakuran
13 C. Kablan
93 Y. Salibur

Coach: A. Canel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,49
U ✓
4,33
B
6,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.