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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Galatasaray
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Karagumruk
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
63%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 0
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Galatasaray 14. · Karagumruk 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 30 21 7 2 +32 70
2 Fenerbahce 31 16 8 7 +19 56
3 Konyaspor 30 16 7 7 +15 55
4 Alanyaspor 30 14 7 9 +8 49
5 Ad. Demirspor 30 13 9 8 +14 48
6 Buyuksehyr 30 14 5 11 +11 47
7 Hatayspor 30 14 5 11 +2 47
8 Besiktas 30 12 10 8 +5 46
9 Antalyaspor 31 12 8 11 -1 44
10 Karagumruk 30 12 7 11 -7 43
11 Sivasspor 31 10 11 10 +2 41
12 Gaziantep 30 11 7 12 -2 40
13 Kasimpasa 30 10 8 12 +2 38
14 Galatasaray 30 10 8 12 -5 38
15 Kayserispor 31 10 8 13 -9 38
16 Giresunspor 31 10 6 15 -5 36
17 Altay 31 8 5 18 -13 29
18 Goztep 30 7 6 17 -14 27
19 Rizespor 30 7 5 18 -26 26
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 30 5 5 20 -28 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Galatasaray Karagumruk
1–0 B. Gomis
4′
2–0 R. Babel
A. Cicâldău
12′
E. Kılınç 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
35′
Victor Nelsson 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Erkin
↦ S. Dursun
46′
🔁 Y. Karamoh
↦ A. Touré
47′
🟨 Salih Dursun
62′
🔁 A. Ugur
↦ J. Durmaz
62′
🔁 L. Mercan
↦ K. Bistrović
E. Pulgar 🔁
↦ T. Antalyalı
64′
B. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ A. Cicâldău
64′
68′
🟨 Derrick Luckassen
74′
ℹ️ Derrick Luckassen
VAR: Penalty awarded
H. Dervişoğlu 🔁
↦ B. Gomis
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
1 F. Muslera G
19 Ö. Bayram D
6 P. van Aanholt D
45 Marcão D
25 V. Nelsson D
4 T. Antalyalı M
33 A. Cicâldău M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
22 B. Kutlu M
8 R. Babel M
18 B. Gomis F
Bench (10)
54 E. Kılınç
15 E. Pulgar
53 B. Yılmaz
67 H. Dervişoğlu
66 A. Turan
21 O. Moruțan
88 S. Kaya
5 A. Öztürk
26 Iñaki Peña
13 İ. Çipe

Coach: Domènec Torrent

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
30 S. Dursun D
29 J. Balkovec D
4 D. Biraschi D
25 D. Luckassen D
6 L. Biglia M
10 J. Durmaz M
94 A. Touré M
9 E. Mor M
23 K. Bistrović M
72 A. Pešić F
Bench (10)
88 C. Erkin
92 Y. Karamoh
77 A. Ugur
18 L. Mercan
60 A. Erdem
21 U. Yuvakuran
93 Y. Salibur
22 S. Onur
7 A. Musa
90 B. Demircan

Coach: A. Canel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,94
B
4,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.