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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Sansalan
Trabzonspor
U U U U U
2–0
Full-time
Karagumruk
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 35/34 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
34%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 10
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 4. · Karagumruk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 34 22 6 6 +37 72
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 6 7 +27 69
3 Galatasaray 34 20 6 8 +33 66
4 Trabzonspor 35 16 12 7 +9 60
5 Alanyaspor 35 16 7 12 +16 55
6 Hatayspor 35 15 9 11 +14 54
7 Gaziantep 34 13 12 9 +9 51
8 Sivasspor 34 12 15 7 +7 51
9 Karagumruk 34 13 11 10 +9 50
10 Goztep 35 12 11 12 +3 47
11 Konyaspor 35 10 12 13 -3 42
12 Rizespor 35 10 12 13 -11 42
13 Antalyaspor 35 9 15 11 -11 42
14 Ankaragücü 34 10 8 16 -12 38
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 8 13 13 -6 37
16 Kasimpasa 35 9 10 16 -14 37
17 Buyuksehyr 34 9 9 16 -16 36
18 Kayserispor 34 8 11 15 -17 35
19 Genclerbirligi 35 9 8 18 -25 35
20 Erzurumspor 35 8 10 17 -22 34
21 Denizlispor 34 6 9 19 -27 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Karagumruk
Anthony Nwakaeme ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
13′
1–0 Djaniny
15′
Marlon 🟨
27′
29′
🔁 A. Ndao
↦ J. Durmaz
Half-time 1–0
M. Hosseini 🔁
↦ Edgar Ié
46′
46′
🔁 G. Campi
↦ E. Zukanović
49′
🟨 Gastón Campi
Flavio 🔁
↦ Y. Sarı
61′
64′
🔁 F. Borini
↦ M. Erdinç
64′
🔁 A. Bertolacci
↦ L. Biglia
2–0 Djaniny
65′
70′
🟨 Fatih Kurucuk
72′
🔁 J. Lens
↦ A. Aktaş
A. Ömür 🔁
↦ Djaniny
89′
90′
🟨 Fabio Borini
S. Kınalı 🔁
↦ A. Nwakaeme
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
13 Vitor Hugo D
32 Edgar Ié D
3 Marlon Xavier D
99 S. Asan D
8 L. Baker M
2 B. Özdemir M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
21 Djaniny M
18 C. Ekuban F
7 Y. Sarı M
Bench (10)
5 M. Hosseini
24 Flavio
10 A. Ömür
19 S. Kınalı
16 E. Kardeşler
23 K. Çörekçi
79 B. Afobe
39 A. Gündüz
4 H. Türkmen
75 F. Genç

Coach: A. Avcı

Karagumruk

3-1-4-2
2 E. Viviano G
87 E. Zukanović D
26 V. Hedenstad M
22 F. Kuruçuk D
6 L. Biglia M
71 J. Durmaz D
23 A. Aktaş M
14 E. Tatlı M
11 M. Erdinç F
19 Y. Salibur F
27 S. Ahmetoğlu M
Bench (10)
18 A. Ndao
37 G. Campi
16 F. Borini
91 A. Bertolacci
77 J. Lens
93 A. Özer
25 Y. Genç
67 A. Aslan
64 Ö. Ersoy
17 M. Pehlivan

Coach: D. Sassarini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,67
B
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ali Sansalan · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.