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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Uğurlu
Hatayspor
T S T S U
3–0
Full-time
Karagumruk
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 43%
46%
39%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
61%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 8. · Karagumruk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 28 20 7 1 +31 67
2 Konyaspor 28 15 7 6 +15 52
3 Buyuksehyr 28 14 5 9 +13 47
4 Fenerbahce 28 13 8 7 +11 47
5 Alanyaspor 28 13 7 8 +9 46
6 Ad. Demirspor 28 12 9 7 +14 45
7 Besiktas 28 12 9 7 +6 45
8 Hatayspor 28 13 4 11 -1 43
9 Karagumruk 28 11 7 10 -7 40
10 Kayserispor 28 10 8 10 -1 38
11 Gaziantep 28 10 7 11 -3 37
12 Galatasaray 28 9 8 11 -4 35
13 Antalyaspor 28 9 8 11 -6 35
14 Sivasspor 28 8 10 10 +0 34
15 Kasimpasa 28 8 8 12 -2 32
16 Giresunspor 28 9 5 14 -3 32
17 Goztep 28 7 6 15 -10 27
18 Altay 28 7 5 16 -12 26
19 Rizespor 28 6 5 17 -25 23
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 28 5 5 18 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Karagumruk
Rúben Ribeiro ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
6′
1–0 S. Lobzhanidze
Rúben Ribeiro
29′
2–0 A. El Kaabi
Rúben Ribeiro
34′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Y. Karamoh
↦ A. Musa
46′
🔁 L. Mercan
↦ A. Touré
46′
🔁 A. Pešić
↦ L. Biglia
3–0 A. El Kaabi
58′
65′
🔁 J. Durmaz
↦ Y. Salibur
Y. Benzia 🔁
↦ Rúben Ribeiro
70′
D. Saint-Louis 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
78′
S. Temel 🔁
↦ M. Boudjemaa
88′
F. Kurucuk 🔁
↦ I. Sackey
88′
Kahraba 🔁
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
88′
88′
🔁 S. Onur
↦ K. Bistrović
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
5 I. Sackey D
4 O. Ergün M
8 M. Boudjemaa M
92 M. Diouf F
25 A. El Kaabi M
Bench (10)
76 Y. Benzia
95 D. Saint-Louis
16 S. Temel
22 F. Kurucuk
9 Kahraba
87 E. Fansa
99 B. Yıldırım
31 A. Yiğiter
37 E. Kaplan
6 S. Falette

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
30 S. Dursun D
29 J. Balkovec D
4 D. Biraschi D
6 L. Biglia M
94 A. Touré M
23 K. Bistrović M
77 A. Ugur M
93 Y. Salibur M
7 A. Musa F
Bench (10)
92 Y. Karamoh
18 L. Mercan
72 A. Pešić
10 J. Durmaz
22 S. Onur
21 U. Yuvakuran
60 A. Erdem
24 V. Arveladze
90 B. Demircan
86 B. Bekaroğlu

Coach: A. Canel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,54
B
3,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Y Uğurlu · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.