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Süper Lig

Referee: M Güzenge

Ümraniyespor

T U T T U

1–3

Full-time

Karagumruk

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 11%

22%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

44%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ümraniyespor 19. · Karagumruk 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	10	6	3	1	+10	21
2	Fenerbahce	9	6	2	1	+18	20
3	Buyuksehyr	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Besiktas	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Konyaspor	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Trabzonspor	10	5	3	2	+2	18
7	Galatasaray	9	5	2	2	+3	17
8	Kayserispor	10	5	1	4	+4	16
9	Gaziantep	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Kasimpasa	10	4	1	5	-10	13
11	Alanyaspor	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	Sivasspor	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Antalyaspor	10	3	1	6	-6	10
14	Karagumruk	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	Giresunspor	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	İstanbulspor	10	2	2	6	-9	8
17	Ankaragücü	9	2	1	6	-8	7
18	Hatayspor	9	2	1	6	-9	7
19	Ümraniyespor	9	0	3	6	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Buyuksehyr	6	4	1	1	+8	13
3	Kayserispor	5	4	0	1	+5	12
4	Besiktas	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	Ad. Demirspor	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Konyaspor	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Gaziantep	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Karagumruk	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Sivasspor	6	1	4	1	+2	7
12	Antalyaspor	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Kasimpasa	5	2	0	3	-8	6
15	Ankaragücü	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Hatayspor	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Giresunspor	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Ümraniyespor	5	0	1	4	-4	1
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	6	3	2	1	+5	11
2	Galatasaray	6	3	2	1	+2	11
3	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	Besiktas	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+8	7
7	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Gaziantep	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	İstanbulspor	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Giresunspor	5	1	2	2	-5	5
12	Kayserispor	5	1	1	3	-1	4
13	Alanyaspor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Antalyaspor	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Ankaragücü	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Sivasspor	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Hatayspor	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Ümraniyespor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.