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Süper Lig
Hatayspor
T T T T T
0–3
Full-time
Karagumruk
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
0,2
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
65%
73%
Both score Ø 58%
38%
77%
Average goals
2,8
3,9
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hatayspor 19. · Karagumruk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 27 21 3 3 +41 66
2 Fenerbahce 27 19 3 5 +35 60
3 Besiktas 27 16 7 4 +24 55
4 Ad. Demirspor 28 14 9 5 +26 51
5 Buyuksehyr 27 13 6 8 +8 45
6 Trabzonspor 27 13 5 9 +7 44
7 Kayserispor 28 14 2 12 +0 44
8 Konyaspor 27 8 12 7 +2 36
9 Karagumruk 26 8 10 8 +4 34
10 Antalyaspor 27 9 5 13 -6 32
11 Alanyaspor 28 8 8 12 -10 32
12 Kasimpasa 28 9 5 14 -13 32
13 Sivasspor 27 8 7 12 -4 31
14 Ankaragücü 27 8 4 15 -11 28
15 İstanbulspor 27 8 3 16 -22 27
16 Ümraniyespor 28 6 8 14 -9 26
17 Gaziantep 28 6 7 15 -17 25
18 Giresunspor 26 5 9 12 -21 24
19 Hatayspor 26 6 5 15 -34 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.