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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Karagumruk
U U S S U
2–2
Full-time
Buyuksehyr
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Buyuksehyr
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 41%
30%
52%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
74%
35%
Both score Ø 54%
78%
30%
Average goals
4,1
2,4
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Buyuksehyr 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 19 3 3 +33 60
2 Fenerbahce 23 16 3 4 +33 51
3 Besiktas 25 14 7 4 +20 49
4 Ad. Demirspor 25 12 9 4 +20 45
5 Trabzonspor 25 13 5 7 +10 44
6 Buyuksehyr 23 12 4 7 +8 40
7 Kayserispor 24 11 2 11 +0 35
8 Konyaspor 25 8 10 7 +2 34
9 Karagumruk 23 7 9 7 +4 30
10 Antalyaspor 25 8 4 13 -8 28
11 Alanyaspor 24 7 7 10 -9 28
12 Kasimpasa 25 7 5 13 -13 26
13 Ümraniyespor 26 6 7 13 -7 25
14 Ankaragücü 23 7 4 12 -8 25
15 Gaziantep 26 6 7 13 -11 25
16 Sivasspor 24 6 6 12 -9 24
17 İstanbulspor 24 7 3 14 -21 24
18 Giresunspor 24 5 8 11 -19 23
19 Hatayspor 23 6 5 12 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Buyuksehyr
8′
🟨 Léo Duarte
Rayyan Baniya 🟨
9′
42′
D. Aleksić 0–1
S. Gürler
Half-time 1–1
1–1 F. Borini
49′
M. Ozdoev 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
71′
Otabek Shukurov 🟨
74′
A. Ljajić 🔁
↦ E. Colley
75′
77′
🔁 P. Szysz
↦ P. Keny
78′
🔁 B. Özcan
↦ L. Biglia
91′
S. Gürler 1–2
B. Özcan
2–2 M. Diagne
92′
S. Feghouli 🔁
↦ O. Shukurov
94′
94′
🔁 S. Okaka
↦ S. Gürler
L. Nicholas 🔁
↦ M. Ricci
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-3-3
1 B. Şen G
4 D. Biraschi D
99 R. Baniya D
5 I. Drešević D
18 L. Mercan D
29 O. Shukurov M
8 M. Ricci M
91 A. Bertolacci M
19 E. Colley F
9 M. Diagne F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (10)
27 M. Ozdoev
10 A. Ljajić
24 L. Nicholas
89 S. Feghouli
54 S. Dursun
6 Bruno Rodrigues
22 B. Kapacak
23 C. Kablan
7 S. Lobzhanidze
11 K. Frei

Coach: A. Pirlo

Buyuksehyr

4-1-4-1
1 V. Babacan G
42 Ö. Şahiner D
5 Léo Duarte D
59 A. Touba D
60 Lucas Lima D
20 L. Biglia M
17 P. Keny M
21 M. Tekdemir M
8 D. Aleksić M
7 S. Gürler M
25 João Figueiredo F
Bench (10)
18 P. Szysz
19 B. Özcan
77 S. Okaka
88 C. Erkin
2 Ş. Özbayraklı
15 B. Çelik
41 E. Koyuncu
80 B. Aydoğmuş
16 M. Şengezer
34 M. Arslantaş

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U ✓
3,36
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.