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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şeker

Hatayspor

S U U U U

3–2

Full-time

Trabzonspor

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Trabzonspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,68 xG 0,43

54% Possession 46%

10 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

9 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 13

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 10. · Trabzonspor 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	5	0	0	+6	+7.5	15
2	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+8	+5.9	13
3	Rizespor	6	3	2	1	+2	+1.6	11
4	Besiktas	5	3	1	1	+1	+3.8	10
5	Trabzonspor	5	3	0	2	+5	-0.5	9
6	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
7	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	+2	-2.2	9
8	Kasimpasa	6	2	3	1	-2	+1.3	9
9	Ad. Demirspor	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.0	8
10	Hatayspor	5	1	4	0	+4	+2.8	7
11	Alanyaspor	6	1	4	1	+1	-0.2	7
12	Ankaragücü	6	1	3	2	+0	+0.4	6
13	Antalyaspor	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.0	6
14	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-5.8	6
15	Sivasspor	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.4	6
16	Pendikspor	6	0	4	2	-7	-3.9	4
17	Buyuksehyr	5	1	0	4	-4	+1.0	3
18	Gaziantep	6	1	0	5	-8	-7.0	3
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.9	2
20	Samsunspor	5	0	1	4	-7	-0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
2	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
3	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
4	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.2	6
5	Ad. Demirspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.0	6
6	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.9	6
7	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+2	+4.2	6
8	Antalyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
9	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.1	5
10	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
11	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
12	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
13	Hatayspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
14	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
15	Karagumruk	3	0	2	1	-1	-4.1	2
16	Sivasspor	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.1	2
17	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.4	2
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
19	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
20	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
2	Galatasaray	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.7	7
3	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
4	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.3	5
5	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
6	Ankaragücü	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.3	4
7	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
9	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.4	3
10	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.6	3
11	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.5	3
12	Kasimpasa	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
13	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
14	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
15	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
16	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.0	1
18	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
19	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-5.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.