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Süper Lig
Referee: M Güzenge
Hatayspor
T T T T S
0–0
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
5,0
Scored
5,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,48 xG 0,67
67% Possession 33%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 2. · Kasimpasa 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 2 1 1 0 +2 -0.0 4
2 Hatayspor 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.3 3
3 Kasimpasa 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.5 3
4 Fenerbahce 1 1 0 0 +1 +3.8 3
5 Ad. Demirspor 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.7 3
6 Trabzonspor 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
7 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.7 3
8 Konyaspor 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.5 2
9 İstanbulspor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.5 2
10 Kayserispor 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.4 2
11 Sivasspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
12 Samsunspor 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
13 Galatasaray 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.3 1
14 Rizespor 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
15 Antalyaspor 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
16 Ankaragücü 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
17 Gaziantep 1 0 0 1 -1 -3.8 0
18 Karagumruk 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.7 0
19 Buyuksehyr 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.4 0
20 Pendikspor 1 0 0 1 -4 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Kasimpasa
Half-time 0–0
A. Hodžić 🔁
↦ Joelson Fernandes
65′
69′
🔁 E. Çetinkaya
↦ I. Gomis
R. Aabid 🔁
↦ G. Sağlam
76′
D. Lamkel Zé 🔁
↦ C. Strandberg
76′
Ö. Beyaz 🔁
↦ G. Aburjania
85′
85′
🔁 B. Kalkan
↦ M. Ben Ouanes
92′
🔁 S. Dilli
↦ H. Hajradinović
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
2 K. Çörekçi D
3 G. Kilama D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
57 E. Aksoy D
5 G. Sağlam M
29 G. Aburjania M
10 C. Strandberg M
17 F. Dele-Bashiru M
77 Joelson Fernandes M
99 B. Yıldırım F
Bench (10)
18 A. Hodžić
20 R. Aabid
11 D. Lamkel Zé
7 Ö. Beyaz
12 V. Bekaj
31 O. Matur
26 O. Arı
15 B. Yılmaz
27 C. Demir
22 K. Alıcı

Coach: V. Demirel

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
1 A. Gianniotis G
2 Cláudio Winck D
4 K. Omeruo D
58 Y. Özcan D
3 D. Aksu D
6 G. Gül M
35 A. Kara M
12 M. Ben Ouanes M
10 H. Hajradinović M
97 I. Gomis M
7 M. Fall F
Bench (10)
11 E. Çetinkaya
41 B. Kalkan
20 S. Dilli
25 A. Yanar
99 A. Demirel
29 T. Aydın
42 E. Yiğit
80 H. Yeşilyurt
13 A. Aktaş
5 S. Çiftpınar

Coach: K. Özdeş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U ✓
3,63
B
2,71
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Güzenge · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.