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Super League
Referee: S Sozza
Panathinaikos
S T S S S
1–2
Full-time
AEK
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · AEK 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 5 4 1 0 +14 13
2 PAOK 6 3 2 1 +5 11
3 OFI Crete 6 3 2 1 +0 11
4 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 +9 9
5 Lamia 6 2 2 2 -4 8
6 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 1 2 +2 7
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 +2 7
8 Asteras Tripolis 6 2 1 3 -1 7
9 Panserraikos 5 1 3 1 +0 6
10 AEK 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Giannina 5 1 2 2 +0 5
12 Kifisia 5 1 1 3 -7 4
13 Volos NFC 5 0 2 3 -5 2
14 Atromitos 4 0 2 2 -5 2
15 Panetolikos 5 0 2 3 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos AEK
T. Jedvaj 🔁
↦ H. Magnússon
4′
1–0 F. Đuričić
F. Ioannidis
10′
21′
🟨 Gerasimos Mitoglou
25′
🟨 Mijat Gaćinović
Bernard 🟨
33′
36′
S. Zuber 1–1
Juankar 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Konstantinos Galanopoulos
59′
🔁 D. Szymański
↦ A. Callens
63′
🔁 J. Jønsson
↦ M. Gaćinović
64′
🔁 R. Pizarro
↦ K. Galanopoulos
68′
O. Pineda 1–2
70′
ℹ️ Rodolfo Pizarro
VAR: Goal confirmed
S. Palacios 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
71′
Willian Arão 🔁
↦ Rubén Pérez
71′
75′
🔁 S. Araújo
↦ L. García
76′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ Milad Mohammadi
A. Šporar 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
78′
F. Mladenović 🔁
↦ Juankar
79′
Sebastián Palacios 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Sergio Araujo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-2-1
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juankar D
31 F. Đuričić M
4 Rubén Pérez M
52 T. Vilhena M
17 D. Mancini M
10 Bernard M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
21 T. Jedvaj
34 S. Palacios
55 Willian Arão
9 A. Šporar
25 F. Mladenović
12 Y. Lodygin
8 L. Kleinheisler
14 E. Palmer-Brown
16 A. Čerin

Coach: I. Jovanović

AEK

4-3-1-2
1 C. Stanković G
12 L. Rota D
24 G. Mitoglou D
18 A. Callens D
3 Milad Mohammadi D
19 N. Eliasson M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
8 M. Gaćinović M
13 O. Pineda M
10 S. Zuber F
7 L. García F
Bench (9)
4 D. Szymański
6 J. Jønsson
70 R. Pizarro
11 S. Araújo
20 P. Mantalos
29 D. Sidibé
14 E. Ponce
5 N. Amrabat
30 G. Athanasiadis

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,12
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,33
U2,5
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.