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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Aganovic

Varnamo

S S U S S

0–1

Full-time

Sirius

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

4,7

Scored

1,3

3,3

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 35%

43%

26%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

39%

65%

Both score Ø 44%

35%

52%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 1,23

60% Possession 40%

9 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 9. · Sirius 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	24	16	4	4	+30	+6.9	52
2	Elfsborg	23	15	3	5	+25	+4.6	48
3	Hacken	24	15	2	7	+25	+2.2	47
4	Djurgarden	24	12	4	8	+5	+1.2	40
5	Hammarby	24	11	5	8	+2	+4.4	38
6	Kalmar	24	10	6	8	-3	-4.1	36
7	Norrkoping	24	10	5	9	+5	+4.5	35
8	Mjallby	24	10	4	10	-1	-5.6	34
9	Varnamo	23	10	2	11	+0	+1.4	32
10	Goteborg	24	7	8	9	-1	-1.5	29
11	Halmstad	23	8	5	10	-15	-2.9	29
12	AIK	24	7	7	10	-2	+3.2	28
13	Brommapojkarna	24	8	3	13	-9	-1.7	27
14	Sirius	23	6	5	12	-1	+5.4	23
15	Degerfors	24	7	2	15	-28	-8.6	23
16	Varberg	24	3	5	16	-32	-9.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	12	11	0	1	+24	-0.2	33
2	Djurgarden	12	9	1	2	+11	+2.8	28
3	Malmo FF	12	8	3	1	+20	+2.1	27
4	Elfsborg	12	8	2	2	+16	+0.5	26
5	Hammarby	11	8	1	2	+8	+2.2	25
6	Kalmar	12	6	3	3	+0	-2.3	21
7	Goteborg	12	5	3	4	+8	-0.0	18
8	AIK	12	4	5	3	+4	+3.4	17
9	Norrkoping	12	5	2	5	+1	-0.0	17
10	Degerfors	13	5	2	6	-3	-2.4	17
11	Halmstad	11	4	3	4	-5	-2.3	15
12	Brommapojkarna	12	4	2	6	-2	+0.4	14
13	Sirius	12	4	1	7	+4	+6.4	13
14	Varnamo	11	4	1	6	-2	+1.6	13
15	Mjallby	12	3	3	6	-3	-5.7	12
16	Varberg	12	1	3	8	-18	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	12	8	1	3	+10	+4.8	25
2	Elfsborg	11	7	1	3	+9	+4.0	22
3	Mjallby	12	7	1	4	+2	+0.1	22
4	Varnamo	12	6	1	5	+2	-0.2	19
5	Norrkoping	12	5	3	4	+4	+4.6	18
6	Kalmar	12	4	3	5	-3	-1.9	15
7	Hacken	12	4	2	6	+1	+2.5	14
8	Halmstad	12	4	2	6	-10	-0.6	14
9	Hammarby	13	3	4	6	-6	+2.2	13
10	Brommapojkarna	12	4	1	7	-7	-2.1	13
11	Djurgarden	12	3	3	6	-6	-1.6	12
12	AIK	12	3	2	7	-6	-0.2	11
13	Goteborg	12	2	5	5	-9	-1.4	11
14	Sirius	11	2	4	5	-5	-1.0	10
15	Varberg	12	2	2	8	-14	-7.8	8
16	Degerfors	11	2	0	9	-25	-6.2	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.