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Süper Lig
Referee: B Şeker
Ankaragücü
S U U U U
0–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
24%
53%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
53%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,77 xG 0,94
56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 12. · Trabzonspor 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 17 14 2 1 +30 +27.6 44
2 Galatasaray 17 14 2 1 +23 +23.8 44
3 Trabzonspor 17 9 3 5 +11 +0.7 30
4 Kayserispor 17 8 5 4 +4 -3.2 29
5 Rizespor 18 8 5 5 +1 -3.8 29
6 Besiktas 18 9 2 7 +0 +6.0 29
7 Ad. Demirspor 18 7 7 4 +9 -0.5 28
8 Kasimpasa 18 7 5 6 -2 -5.2 26
9 Antalyaspor 18 6 7 5 +4 -0.2 25
10 Sivasspor 17 5 6 6 -7 -2.8 21
11 Alanyaspor 18 5 6 7 -7 -1.0 21
12 Ankaragücü 17 4 8 5 +0 -3.2 20
13 Buyuksehyr 18 5 5 8 -3 -3.1 20
14 Gaziantep 18 6 2 10 -7 -6.7 20
15 Hatayspor 18 4 7 7 -1 +2.9 19
16 Konyaspor 17 4 6 7 -4 -2.4 18
17 Karagumruk 17 4 5 8 +0 -6.0 17
18 Samsunspor 17 4 3 10 -10 +1.4 15
19 Pendikspor 18 3 6 9 -21 -8.7 15
20 İstanbulspor 17 2 2 13 -20 -15.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Trabzonspor
1′
🟨 Paul Onuachu
30′
⚽ E. Višća 0–1
P. Onuachu
Half-time 0–1
Renaldo Cephas 🟨
50′
T. Chatzigiovanis 🔁
↦ R. Cephas
56′
S. Kitsiou 🔁
↦ A. Çankaya
66′
R. Bajić 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
66′
C. Türkmen 🔁
↦ A. Güneren
74′
84′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ T. Fountas
84′
🔁 E. Destan
↦ P. Onuachu
89′
🔁 D. Kourbelis
↦ B. Özdemir
93′
🔁 M. Aydın
↦ E. Višća
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
99 B. Güngördü G
4 A. Çankaya D
26 U. Radaković D
18 N. Mujakić D
5 M. Hanousek D
23 A. Güneren M
8 Pedrinho M
80 O. Moruțan M
10 E. Bekiroğlu M
29 R. Cephas
32 F. Macheda F
Bench (10)
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
70 S. Kitsiou
9 R. Bajić
6 C. Türkmen
2 A. Kuyubaşı
45 M. Çetin
16 A. Đokanović
77 H. Bilazer
21 S. Astanakulov
1 R. Gikiewicz

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
19 J. Stryger Larsen D
2 R. Baniya D
32 F. Benković D
18 E. Elmalı D
5 B. Özdemir M
6 B. Mendy M
7 E. Višća M
11 A. Bakasetas M
14 T. Fountas M
30 P. Onuachu F
Bench (10)
8 E. Bardhi
94 E. Destan
21 D. Kourbelis
50 M. Aydın
4 H. Türkmen
73 A. Boşluk
54 T. Tepe
3 Joaquín Fernández
23 U. Güneş
16 K. Şen

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,20
U
3,45
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

B Şeker · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.