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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
İstanbulspor
T T S T T
0–3
Full-time
Trabzonspor
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 33%
13%
53%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
47%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

0,68 xG 1,40
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match İstanbulspor 20. · Trabzonspor 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 15 13 1 1 +29 +28.0 40
2 Galatasaray 15 13 1 1 +22 +22.4 40
3 Kayserispor 15 8 5 2 +7 -2.4 29
4 Trabzonspor 15 8 2 5 +8 -0.4 26
5 Besiktas 15 8 2 5 +3 +5.8 26
6 Ad. Demirspor 15 6 5 4 +8 -0.6 23
7 Antalyaspor 15 6 5 4 +5 -0.3 23
8 Rizespor 15 6 4 5 -5 -5.8 22
9 Kasimpasa 15 6 3 6 -4 -5.8 21
10 Hatayspor 15 4 6 5 +2 +4.3 18
11 Ankaragücü 15 4 6 5 +0 -2.8 18
12 Buyuksehyr 16 5 3 8 -3 -2.7 18
13 Sivasspor 16 4 6 6 -8 -3.8 18
14 Karagumruk 15 4 5 6 +4 -4.2 17
15 Gaziantep 15 5 0 10 -10 -5.4 15
16 Konyaspor 15 3 5 7 -6 -3.9 14
17 Samsunspor 15 4 2 9 -8 +2.8 14
18 Alanyaspor 15 3 5 7 -11 -2.5 14
19 Pendikspor 15 3 4 8 -17 -9.2 13
20 İstanbulspor 15 2 2 11 -16 -13.6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Trabzonspor
11′
Trézéguet 0–1
1–1 M. Sarıkaya
A. Ndao
39′
Half-time 1–1
M. Yesil 🟨
52′
O. Erdogan 🟨
65′
66′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ A. Ömür
68′
P. Onuachu 1–2
E. Višća
D. Duhaney 🟨
72′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

5-4-1
59 A. Arda G
21 D. Duhaney D
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
14 S. Deli D
66 A. Yaşar D
18 A. Ndao M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
34 F. Loshaj M
99 Jackson M
27 V. Ethemi F
Bench (10)
7 D. Sambissa
12 M. Mamadou
26 M. Serbest
8 V. Temel
88 D. Traoré
13 R. Coly
6 M. Vorobjovas
19 E. Gültekin
20 Ö. Şahan
16 G. Imbula

Coach: H. Yakin

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
19 J. Stryger Larsen D
6 B. Mendy D
24 S. Denswil D
18 E. Elmalı D
5 B. Özdemir M
7 E. Višća M
11 A. Bakasetas M
10 A. Ömür M
27 Trézéguet M
30 P. Onuachu F
Bench (10)
8 E. Bardhi
91 T. Teklić
21 D. Kourbelis
4 H. Türkmen
94 E. Destan
23 U. Güneş
54 T. Tepe
2 R. Baniya
16 K. Şen
50 M. Aydın

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,64
U
4,27
B ✓
1,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.