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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şeker

Hatayspor

T U T T U

3–0

Full-time

Samsunspor

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 28%

21%

34%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

45%

41%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,08 xG 0,44

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Samsunspor 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	29	25	3	1	+47	+39.5	78
2	Fenerbahce	29	24	4	1	+53	+52.5	76
3	Trabzonspor	29	15	4	10	+12	+2.1	49
4	Besiktas	30	14	4	12	+4	+9.6	46
5	Kasimpasa	29	12	7	10	-1	-8.5	43
6	Buyuksehyr	30	12	6	12	+3	-0.3	42
7	Rizespor	30	12	6	12	-11	-6.0	42
8	Antalyaspor	30	10	11	9	+2	+0.6	41
9	Ad. Demirspor	30	9	12	9	+7	-0.9	39
10	Alanyaspor	30	9	12	9	-4	+2.2	39
11	Kayserispor	30	10	9	11	-7	-7.6	39
12	Sivasspor	30	9	11	10	-7	-6.8	38
13	Samsunspor	29	10	6	13	-3	+4.9	36
14	Ankaragücü	30	7	12	11	-3	-5.7	33
15	Konyaspor	30	7	12	11	-11	-10.7	33
16	Gaziantep	30	8	7	15	-10	-12.5	31
17	Karagumruk	30	7	9	14	-4	-12.4	30
18	Hatayspor	29	6	12	11	-7	-5.4	30
19	Pendikspor	30	7	8	15	-27	-11.8	29
20	İstanbulspor	30	3	7	20	-33	-22.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	15	0	0	+28	+27.7	45
2	Fenerbahce	15	11	3	1	+27	+29.6	36
3	Rizespor	16	10	3	3	+10	+5.5	33
4	Ad. Demirspor	15	9	3	3	+15	+6.4	30
5	Samsunspor	15	9	2	4	+9	+5.9	29
6	Trabzonspor	14	9	1	4	+8	+5.0	28
7	Buyuksehyr	15	8	2	5	+7	+1.3	26
8	Besiktas	15	8	2	5	+7	+6.4	26
9	Antalyaspor	15	6	7	2	+3	+2.0	25
10	Karagumruk	15	6	6	3	+12	-0.7	24
11	Kayserispor	15	6	6	3	+5	+2.6	24
12	Alanyaspor	15	6	6	3	+4	+4.7	24
13	Ankaragücü	16	5	7	4	+1	+1.2	22
14	Kasimpasa	14	6	4	4	+0	-3.8	22
15	Konyaspor	14	5	4	5	+3	+2.2	19
16	Hatayspor	14	4	7	3	+2	-1.8	19
17	Sivasspor	14	4	7	3	+2	+1.7	19
18	Pendikspor	15	5	3	7	-9	-6.1	18
19	Gaziantep	15	4	5	6	-4	-6.3	17
20	İstanbulspor	15	2	3	10	-17	-12.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	14	13	1	0	+26	+22.9	40
2	Galatasaray	14	10	3	1	+19	+11.8	33
3	Trabzonspor	15	6	3	6	+4	-2.8	21
4	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-1	-4.7	21
5	Besiktas	15	6	2	7	-3	+3.2	20
6	Sivasspor	16	5	4	7	-9	-8.4	19
7	Antalyaspor	15	4	4	7	-1	-1.5	16
8	Buyuksehyr	15	4	4	7	-4	-1.6	16
9	Alanyaspor	15	3	6	6	-8	-2.5	15
10	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-12	-10.2	15
11	Gaziantep	15	4	2	9	-6	-6.2	14
12	Konyaspor	16	2	8	6	-14	-12.9	14
13	Ankaragücü	14	2	5	7	-4	-6.9	11
14	Hatayspor	15	2	5	8	-9	-3.6	11
15	Pendikspor	15	2	5	8	-18	-5.7	11
16	Ad. Demirspor	15	0	9	6	-8	-7.3	9
17	Rizespor	14	2	3	9	-21	-11.5	9
18	Samsunspor	14	1	4	9	-12	-1.1	7
19	İstanbulspor	15	1	4	10	-16	-10.1	7
20	Karagumruk	15	1	3	11	-16	-11.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.