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Europa League
Referee: A Taylor
Sparta Praha
U T S S T
4–1
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/1 matches
Win Ø 72%
44%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 89%
78%
100%
Both score Ø 89%
78%
100%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,15 xG 1,15
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Sparta Praha Galatasaray
1–0 Á. Preciado
K. Kairinen
8′
16′
A. Bardakcı 1–1
22′
🟨 Kerem Demirbay
24′
🟨 Berkan Kutlu
Asger Sørensen 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–1
62′
🔁 W. Zaha
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
62′
🔁 Sérgio Oliveira
↦ D. Mertens
I. Tuci 🔁
↦ V. Olatunji
66′
70′
🟥 Kaan Ayhan
70′
ℹ️ Kaan Ayhan
VAR: Card upgrade
J. Zelený 🔁
↦ T. Wiesner
72′
2–1 I. Tuci
J. Zelený
74′
75′
🔁 Tetê
↦ K. Demirbay
Jan Kuchta 🟨
76′
3–1 L. Haraslín
I. Tuci
80′
83′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ L. Torreira
Ángelo Preciado 🟨
85′
L. Sadílek 🔁
↦ L. Haraslín
87′
4–1 J. Kuchta
Q. Laçi
96′
98′
🟨 Carlos Vinícius
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-1-2
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
27 F. Panák D
25 A. Sørensen D
2 Á. Preciado M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
28 T. Wiesner M
22 L. Haraslín F
7 V. Olatunji F
9 J. Kuchta F
Bench (12)
11 I. Tuci
30 J. Zelený
18 L. Sadílek
29 M. Ševčík
4 M. Solbakken
44 J. Surovčík
49 A. Ševínský
10 A. Karabec
24 V. Vorel
19 J. Mejdr
21 J. Pešek
26 P. Vydra

Coach: B. Priske

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
23 K. Ayhan D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
18 B. Kutlu D
8 K. Demirbay M
34 L. Torreira M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
14 W. Zaha
27 Sérgio Oliveira
20 Tetê
95 Carlos Vinícius
81 H. Akman
19 G. Güvenç
50 J. Yılmaz
56 B. Demiroğlu
58 A. Yeşilyurt
72 A. Bülbül

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.