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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergün

Goztep

T U U U S

3–0

Full-time

Kayserispor

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,75 xG 0,43

37% Possession 63%

20 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goztep 10. · Kayserispor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	6	0	0	+15	+5.0	18
2	Fenerbahce	6	4	1	1	+9	+8.3	13
3	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+7	+4.4	13
4	Samsunspor	6	4	0	2	+4	+3.9	12
5	Buyuksehyr	5	3	1	1	+4	+0.0	10
6	Eyüpspor	6	2	3	1	+3	+1.6	9
7	Konyaspor	6	2	2	2	-1	-0.4	8
8	Sivasspor	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.7	8
9	Antalyaspor	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.4	8
10	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.4	6
11	Kasimpasa	6	1	3	2	-2	+0.5	6
12	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-3	+1.9	6
13	Bodrumspor	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.4	6
14	Trabzonspor	4	0	4	0	+0	-1.0	4
15	Rizespor	6	1	1	4	-11	-3.2	4
16	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-1	-1.0	3
17	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.1	3
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-6.1	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	1	5	-9	-2.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+8	+7.7	9
2	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.0	9
3	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
4	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
5	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.1	6
6	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
7	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
9	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
10	Alanyaspor	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.3	3
11	Samsunspor	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.7	3
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
13	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
14	Kasimpasa	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.3	2
15	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.4	1
17	Rizespor	4	0	1	3	-7	-0.2	1
18	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
19	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	0	3	-7	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	-2.7	9
2	Samsunspor	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
3	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.2	7
4	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
5	Eyüpspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.5	5
6	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
7	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.9	4
9	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.5	4
10	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.2	3
11	Alanyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.6	3
12	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.2	3
13	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.0	3
14	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.3	2
15	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
16	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.1	1
19	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.