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Süper Lig
Referee: M Metoğlu
Alanyaspor
U U U U T
1–1
Full-time
Goztep
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,37 xG 1,47
68% Possession 32%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 15. · Goztep 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Besiktas 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.2 6
2 Galatasaray 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.2 6
3 Eyüpspor 2 1 1 0 +3 -0.9 4
4 Buyuksehyr 2 1 1 0 +2 -2.6 4
5 Rizespor 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.5 4
6 Fenerbahce 2 1 1 0 +1 +2.5 4
7 Sivasspor 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.0 4
8 Konyaspor 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.8 3
9 Gaziantep 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
10 Samsunspor 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.7 3
11 Goztep 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.8 2
12 Trabzonspor 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.4 1
13 Kasimpasa 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.5 1
14 Hatayspor 2 0 1 1 -1 -3.6 1
15 Alanyaspor 2 0 1 1 -2 +2.8 1
16 Antalyaspor 2 0 1 1 -2 -2.5 1
17 Kayserispor 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.6 0
18 Ad. Demirspor 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.4 0
19 Bodrumspor 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,37
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Metoğlu · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.