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Süper Lig
Referee: M Türkmen
Trabzonspor
T U U U U
2–2
Full-time
Kayserispor
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
0,7
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,70 xG 2,46
66% Possession 34%
25 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Trabzonspor 13. · Kayserispor 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 5 5 0 0 +13 +7.0 15
2 Fenerbahce 5 4 1 0 +11 +6.3 13
3 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 +6 +4.6 10
4 Buyuksehyr 5 3 1 1 +4 +0.0 10
5 Eyüpspor 5 2 3 0 +4 +1.4 9
6 Samsunspor 5 3 0 2 +3 +3.5 9
7 Konyaspor 5 2 1 2 -1 -0.6 7
8 Sivasspor 5 2 1 2 -1 -4.6 7
9 Antalyaspor 5 2 1 2 -3 -4.0 7
10 Goztep 4 1 3 0 +2 -1.4 6
11 Kasimpasa 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.1 5
12 Rizespor 5 1 1 3 -10 -2.7 4
13 Trabzonspor 3 0 3 0 +0 -1.3 3
14 Gaziantep 4 1 0 3 -3 -1.1 3
15 Alanyaspor 5 0 3 2 -5 +0.7 3
16 Bodrumspor 5 1 0 4 -5 +0.4 3
17 Kayserispor 3 0 2 1 -1 -0.8 2
18 Hatayspor 5 0 2 3 -5 -6.1 2
19 Ad. Demirspor 5 0 1 4 -7 -1.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Kayserispor
5′
🟨 Aylton Boa Morte
7′
ℹ️ Miguel Cardoso
VAR: Penalty confirmed
10′
Joseph Attamah
penalty missed
12′
H. Kaldırım 0–1
D. Nazon
O. Tufan 🔁
↦ S. Savić
14′
Half-time 0–1
A. Nwakaeme 🔁
↦ E. Bardhi
46′
P. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ M. Oršić
46′
46′
🔁 D. Kolovetsios
↦ J. Jeanvier
54′
🟨 Miguel Cardoso
63′
Aylton Boa Morte 0–2
D. Nazon
J. Lundstram 🔁
↦ O. Yokuşlu
64′
73′
🟨 Gökhan Sazdağı
73′
🟨 Mehdi Bourabia
75′
🔁 E. Özbek
↦ H. Kaldırım
U. Bozok 🔁
↦ D. Drăguș
81′
86′
🔁 R. Civelek
↦ L. Carole
87′
🟨 Gökhan Sazdağı
87′
🟥 Gökhan Sazdağı
88′
🟨 Duckens Nazon
1–2 U. Bozok
89′
92′
🔁 Y. Ackah
↦ D. Nazon
92′
🔁 B. Gezek
↦ Aylton Boa Morte
2–2 S. Denswil
A. Nwakaeme
98′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
79 Pedro Malheiro D
15 S. Savić D
24 S. Denswil D
18 E. Elmalı D
35 O. Yokuşlu M
6 B. Mendy M
61 C. Çanak M
8 E. Bardhi M
99 M. Oršić M
70 D. Drăguș F
Bench (10)
11 O. Tufan
9 A. Nwakaeme
90 P. Yıldırım
5 J. Lundstram
19 U. Bozok
3 B. Barišić
20 S. Asan
54 T. Tepe
23 U. Güneş
44 A. Batahov

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Kayserispor

4-3-2-1
1 O. Piri G
11 G. Sazdağı D
17 J. Jeanvier D
3 J. Attamah D
23 L. Carole D
10 M. Bourabia M
8 K. Yılmaz M
33 H. Kaldırım M
70 Aylton Boa Morte M
7 Miguel Cardoso M
9 D. Nazon F
Bench (10)
4 D. Kolovetsios
16 E. Özbek
28 R. Civelek
79 Y. Ackah
26 B. Gezek
99 T. Sarıarslan
39 Ş. Öztürk
77 N. Korkmaz
13 S. Bahoken
6 A. Karimi

Coach: B. Yılmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U ✓
4,15
B
4,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Türkmen · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.