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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şen
Ad. Demirspor
T T T T S
2–2
Full-time
Gaziantep
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 22%
9%
34%
Points per game
0,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
69%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,5
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
2,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,46 xG 2,12
46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 10
7 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 8
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 19. · Gaziantep 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 36 30 5 1 +60 +40.0 95
2 Fenerbahce 36 26 6 4 +51 +45.6 84
3 Samsunspor 35 18 7 10 +13 +5.5 61
4 Besiktas 35 16 11 8 +19 +25.5 59
5 Buyuksehyr 36 16 6 14 +4 +4.7 54
6 Eyüpspor 36 15 8 13 +5 -1.4 53
7 Trabzonspor 36 13 12 11 +13 +1.1 51
8 Goztep 36 13 11 12 +9 +21.9 50
9 Rizespor 36 15 4 17 -6 +9.0 49
10 Kasimpasa 36 11 14 11 -1 +0.9 47
11 Konyaspor 36 13 7 16 -5 -3.0 46
12 Kayserispor 35 11 12 12 -11 -4.1 45
13 Gaziantep 35 12 8 15 -5 -12.8 44
14 Antalyaspor 36 12 8 16 -25 -18.4 44
15 Alanyaspor 35 11 9 15 -9 -3.2 42
16 Bodrumspor 35 9 10 16 -13 -5.0 37
17 Sivasspor 35 9 8 18 -14 -19.4 35
18 Hatayspor 36 6 8 22 -27 -37.1 26
19 Ad. Demirspor 35 3 4 28 -58 -49.7 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Gaziantep
1–0 N. Alioui
A. Kol
11′
Murat Uğur Eser 🟨
30′
32′
A. Maxim 1–1
2–1 N. Alioui
B. Fougeu
35′
Half-time 2–1
Gokdeniz Tunc 🟨
48′
57′
🔁 A. Kalın
↦ H. Dervişoğlu
58′
🔁 M. Gümüşkaya
↦ T. Güneş
D. Yavuz 🔁
↦ G. Tunç
61′
64′
E. Boateng 2–2
D. Sorescu
S. Gülay 🔁
↦ N. Alioui
70′
A. Fidan 🔁
↦ Y. Demirkıran
74′
K. Karayiğit 🔁
↦ B. Fougeu
82′
B. Gezer 🔁
↦ A. Kol
82′
S. Duyur 🔁
↦ A. Aymbetov
82′
82′
🔁 N. Gezer
↦ O. Özçiçek
Tayfun Aydoğan 🟨
86′
90′
🔁 Ç. Taş
↦ D. Sorescu
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-1-4-1
25 M. Eser G
93 B. Fougeu D
61 A. Yildiz D
53 Y. Demirkıran D
13 G. Tunç D
80 A. Kol M
21 B. Balat M
8 T. Aydoğan M
17 A. Aymbetov F
60 O. Demirbag M
10 N. Alioui M
Bench (10)
20 D. Yavuz
77 S. Gülay
29 A. Fidan
91 K. Karayiğit
15 B. Gezer
94 S. Duyur
39 V. Karakuş
28 S. Kavrazlı
92 D. Zengin
1 M. Durmaz

Coach: M. Avcı

Gaziantep

4-2-3-1
99 H. Bağcı G
27 Ö. Artan D
22 S. M'Bakata D
51 A. Husic D
93 T. Güneş D
25 O. Özçiçek M
8 F. Soyalp M
18 D. Sorescu M
44 A. Maxim M
9 H. Dervişoğlu F
21 E. Boateng M
Bench (9)
26 A. Kalın
23 M. Gümüşkaya
89 N. Gezer
67 Ç. Taş
40 I. Erdal
3 E. Taşdemir
90 Y. Nacar
19 K. Kodro
95 I. Alkış

Coach: K. Daloğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,79
U ✓
5,71
B
1,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,24
U2,5
3,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.