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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergün

Gaziantep

T S T S U

1–0

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

35%

12%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

65%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,56 xG 0,74

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 11

3 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gaziantep 10. · Ad. Demirspor 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	15	2	0	+29	+17.4	47
2	Fenerbahce	17	12	3	2	+26	+19.6	39
3	Samsunspor	18	11	3	4	+14	+11.2	36
4	Eyüpspor	18	8	6	4	+10	-1.3	30
5	Besiktas	18	8	6	4	+8	+6.1	30
6	Goztep	17	8	4	5	+9	+5.1	28
7	Buyuksehyr	17	7	5	5	+5	+6.9	26
8	Rizespor	18	7	3	8	-8	+5.8	24
9	Trabzonspor	18	5	7	6	+6	-2.8	22
10	Gaziantep	17	6	4	7	-2	-5.2	22
11	Alanyaspor	18	5	7	6	-2	+1.3	22
12	Kasimpasa	17	4	9	4	-1	-0.3	21
13	Antalyaspor	18	6	3	9	-16	-11.7	21
14	Konyaspor	17	5	5	7	-6	-6.4	20
15	Sivasspor	18	5	5	8	-7	-12.9	20
16	Kayserispor	18	3	7	8	-17	-7.1	16
17	Bodrumspor	18	4	3	11	-11	-4.8	15
18	Hatayspor	18	1	6	11	-15	-10.5	9
19	Ad. Demirspor	17	2	2	13	-22	-10.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	8	2	0	+13	+14.1	26
2	Goztep	8	7	1	0	+14	+5.1	22
3	Fenerbahce	8	7	0	1	+13	+11.4	21
4	Besiktas	9	6	1	2	+5	+5.9	19
5	Trabzonspor	9	5	3	1	+12	+2.3	18
6	Eyüpspor	8	5	2	1	+9	+1.6	17
7	Gaziantep	8	5	2	1	+8	+1.1	17
8	Samsunspor	9	5	2	2	+7	+8.0	17
9	Buyuksehyr	8	4	4	0	+11	+7.7	16
10	Antalyaspor	9	5	1	3	-2	-3.9	16
11	Alanyaspor	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.7	15
12	Sivasspor	10	3	4	3	+0	-5.3	13
13	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-1	+5.7	12
14	Bodrumspor	9	3	2	4	+2	-1.1	11
15	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
16	Kasimpasa	9	1	4	4	-5	+2.0	7
17	Hatayspor	10	1	4	5	-6	-2.7	7
18	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-11	-3.2	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	9	1	0	8	-13	-2.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+16	+3.4	21
2	Samsunspor	9	6	1	2	+7	+3.2	19
3	Fenerbahce	9	5	3	1	+13	+8.2	18
4	Kasimpasa	8	3	5	0	+4	-2.3	14
5	Eyüpspor	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.9	13
6	Rizespor	9	4	0	5	-7	+0.2	12
7	Besiktas	9	2	5	2	+3	+0.2	11
8	Buyuksehyr	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.8	10
9	Kayserispor	9	2	4	3	-6	-3.9	10
10	Konyaspor	10	3	1	6	-7	-7.5	10
11	Alanyaspor	9	1	4	4	-6	-2.4	7
12	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
13	Goztep	9	1	3	5	-5	-0.0	6
14	Ad. Demirspor	8	1	2	5	-9	-7.6	5
15	Gaziantep	9	1	2	6	-10	-6.3	5
16	Antalyaspor	9	1	2	6	-14	-7.7	5
17	Trabzonspor	9	0	4	5	-6	-5.2	4
18	Bodrumspor	9	1	1	7	-13	-3.7	4
19	Hatayspor	8	0	2	6	-9	-7.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.