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Süper Lig

Referee: Ç Altay

Besiktas

U T U S S

4–1

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,0

3,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 27%

47%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

41%

66%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

56%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,76 xG 0,53

63% Possession 37%

30 Shots 8

14 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 10

13 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Besiktas 4. · Ad. Demirspor 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	33	27	5	1	+53	+36.3	86
2	Fenerbahce	33	24	6	3	+51	+41.5	78
3	Samsunspor	33	17	6	10	+12	+6.6	57
4	Besiktas	32	15	10	7	+17	+20.7	55
5	Buyuksehyr	33	15	6	12	+6	+2.7	51
6	Eyüpspor	34	14	8	12	+5	+0.0	50
7	Goztep	32	12	10	10	+13	+19.6	46
8	Trabzonspor	33	12	10	11	+11	-1.2	46
9	Kasimpasa	33	11	13	9	+1	+2.1	46
10	Konyaspor	34	13	7	14	-3	-1.4	46
11	Antalyaspor	32	12	7	13	-20	-15.6	43
12	Gaziantep	33	12	6	15	-5	-13.5	42
13	Kayserispor	32	10	11	11	-10	-2.1	41
14	Rizespor	33	12	4	17	-13	+5.6	40
15	Alanyaspor	33	10	8	15	-10	-2.2	38
16	Sivasspor	34	9	8	17	-13	-19.4	35
17	Bodrumspor	33	9	8	16	-13	-6.3	35
18	Hatayspor	32	4	7	21	-31	-31.9	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	32	2	4	26	-51	-41.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	13	3	0	+26	+25.9	42
2	Fenerbahce	16	12	2	2	+22	+19.5	38
3	Goztep	16	10	5	1	+22	+20.6	35
4	Trabzonspor	17	10	4	3	+18	+6.4	34
5	Gaziantep	17	10	3	4	+10	+0.1	33
6	Antalyaspor	16	10	3	3	+3	-2.1	33
7	Besiktas	16	10	2	4	+10	+13.9	32
8	Konyaspor	17	9	5	3	+8	+6.1	32
9	Buyuksehyr	17	9	4	4	+12	+6.0	31
10	Eyüpspor	17	9	3	5	+9	+3.9	30
11	Samsunspor	16	9	2	5	+9	+10.5	29
12	Sivasspor	18	7	6	5	+7	-3.9	27
13	Alanyaspor	16	7	4	5	+3	+6.0	25
14	Rizespor	16	7	4	5	+2	+13.3	25
15	Kayserispor	16	7	4	5	+0	+3.6	25
16	Kasimpasa	16	5	7	4	+0	+5.6	22
17	Bodrumspor	16	5	4	7	+0	-0.1	19
18	Hatayspor	17	3	5	9	-9	-11.6	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	16	1	2	13	-23	-13.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	17	14	2	1	+27	+10.4	44
2	Fenerbahce	17	12	4	1	+29	+22.0	40
3	Samsunspor	17	8	4	5	+3	-3.9	28
4	Kasimpasa	17	6	6	5	+1	-3.5	24
5	Besiktas	16	5	8	3	+7	+6.8	23
6	Eyüpspor	17	5	5	7	-4	-3.9	20
7	Buyuksehyr	16	6	2	8	-6	-3.3	20
8	Kayserispor	16	3	7	6	-10	-5.7	16
9	Bodrumspor	17	4	4	9	-13	-6.2	16
10	Rizespor	17	5	0	12	-15	-7.7	15
11	Konyaspor	17	4	2	11	-11	-7.5	14
12	Alanyaspor	17	3	4	10	-13	-8.1	13
13	Trabzonspor	16	2	6	8	-7	-7.7	12
14	Goztep	16	2	5	9	-9	-1.1	11
15	Antalyaspor	16	2	4	10	-23	-13.5	10
16	Gaziantep	16	2	3	11	-15	-13.6	9
17	Sivasspor	16	2	2	12	-20	-15.4	8
18	Hatayspor	15	1	2	12	-22	-20.3	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	16	1	2	13	-28	-27.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.