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LaLiga2
Referee: José Sánchez
Ferrol
T T U S T
0–2
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferrol Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 24%
15%
32%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
37%
46%
Both score Ø 53%
34%
71%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ferrol 21. · Sp Gijon 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 41 21 13 7 +26 76
2 Elche 41 21 11 9 +21 74
3 Mirandes 41 21 9 11 +17 72
4 Oviedo 41 20 12 9 +13 72
5 Santander 41 19 11 11 +13 68
6 Almeria 41 18 12 11 +15 66
7 Granada 41 18 11 12 +12 65
8 Huesca 41 17 10 14 +8 61
9 Eibar 41 15 13 13 +4 58
10 Albacete 41 15 12 14 +0 57
11 Cadiz 41 14 13 14 +3 55
12 Cordoba 41 14 12 15 -4 54
13 Burgos 41 15 9 17 -7 54
14 La Coruna 41 13 14 14 +6 53
15 Castellon 42 14 11 17 +2 53
16 Sp Gijon 41 13 14 14 +1 53
17 Malaga 41 12 16 13 -4 52
18 Zaragoza 42 13 12 17 -7 51
19 Eldense 41 11 12 18 -18 45
20 Tenerife 41 8 12 21 -18 36
21 Ferrol 41 6 12 23 -40 30
22 Cartagena 41 6 5 30 -43 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ferrol Sp Gijon
Josep Señé 🟨
-5′
31′
🟨 Pablo García
44′
Nico Serrano 0–1
Pablo García
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Nico Serrano
53′
🟨 Ignacio Martín
Chiki 🔁
↦ Álvaro Sanz
55′
Naim García 🔁
↦ Héber Pena
63′
Aitor Gelardo 🔁
↦ Josep Señé
63′
Josep Señé ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
Francisco De La Manzanara 🟨
67′
Christian Borrego 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ J. Otero
67′
🔁 Gaspar Campos
↦ Nico Serrano
73′
🟨 Víctor Campuzano
76′
🔁 Cote
↦ Pablo García
E. Insúa 🔁
↦ Brais Martínez
77′
Eneko Jauregi 🔁
↦ Josué Dorrio
77′
81′
🔁 Álex Oyón
↦ Dani Queipo
81′
🔁 Eric Curbelo
↦ Carlos Dotor
90′
César Gelabert 0–2
Gaspar Campos
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
1 Emilio Bernad G
11 Nacho Sánchez D
3 Rober Correa D
5 Naldo D
18 Brais Martínez D
16 Fran Manzanara M
10 Josep Señé M
17 Josué Dorrio M
6 Álvaro Sanz M
8 Héber Pena M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (8)
7 Chiki
2 Naim García
14 Aitor Gelardo
12 E. Insúa
9 Eneko Jauregi
25 Jesús Ruiz
13 Yoel Rodríguez
19 Manu Vallejo

Coach: Alejandro Menéndez

Sp Gijon

4-2-3-1
13 C. Sánchez G
2 Guille Rosas D
15 N. Maraš D
22 Diego Sánchez D
5 Pablo García D
6 Nacho Martín M
12 Carlos Dotor M
21 Nico Serrano M
18 César Gelabert M
9 Dani Queipo M
19 J. Otero F
Bench (11)
11 Víctor Campuzano
7 Gaspar Campos
3 Cote
27 Álex Oyón
23 Eric Curbelo
1 Rubén Yáñez
10 Nacho Méndez
4 Róber Pier
14 Lander Olaetxea
35 Borja Montes
38 Gerard Moreno

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
2,94
B ✓
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.