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Süper Lig

Referee: Ali Sansalan

Trabzonspor

S U T U S

4–0

Full-time

Kayserispor

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

57%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

14%

29%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,04 xG 1,51

52% Possession 48%

25 Shots 17

12 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Trabzonspor 3. · Kayserispor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+17	+10.1	21
2	Fenerbahce	7	4	3	0	+7	+10.8	15
3	Trabzonspor	7	4	2	1	+3	+0.2	14
4	Goztep	7	3	4	0	+8	+3.2	13
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	+3	+6.2	12
6	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+1.4	12
7	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-2	-1.5	11
8	Konyaspor	6	3	1	2	+4	-1.1	10
9	Antalyaspor	8	3	1	4	-4	-4.7	10
10	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	-3.0	9
11	Kasimpasa	7	2	2	3	-1	-1.5	8
12	Rizespor	7	2	2	3	-2	+1.2	8
13	Buyuksehyr	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.1	6
14	Eyüpspor	7	1	2	4	-6	-5.4	5
15	Kayserispor	7	0	5	2	-8	-3.1	5
16	Genclerbirligi	7	1	1	5	-5	-5.2	4
17	Karagumruk	7	1	0	6	-9	-4.1	3
18	Kocaelispor	7	0	2	5	-8	-3.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+5	+9.6	10
2	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	+3.6	9
3	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+4	+4.9	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
5	Samsunspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
6	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.3	7
7	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.3	6
8	Goztep	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.4	5
9	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.3	4
10	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.5	4
11	Eyüpspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.9	4
12	Buyuksehyr	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.7	3
13	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.1	3
14	Rizespor	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.6	3
15	Kocaelispor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
16	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.3	2
17	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.9	1
18	Karagumruk	4	0	0	4	-6	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	+6.5	12
2	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+1.8	8
3	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
4	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.0	6
5	Antalyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	-4.2	6
6	Fenerbahce	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.2	5
7	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.3	5
8	Samsunspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
9	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.7	5
10	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
11	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	-2	-3.8	4
12	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.7	3
13	Kayserispor	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.8	3
14	Besiktas	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.2	3
15	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
16	Eyüpspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.6	1
17	Genclerbirligi	4	0	1	3	-3	-5.1	1
18	Kocaelispor	4	0	0	4	-7	-5.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.