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LaLiga2
Referee: Alonso De Ena Wolf
Ceuta
T S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Eibar
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ceuta 15. · Eibar 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 7 4 3 0 +11 15
2 Cadiz 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Andorra 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Santander 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Burgos 7 3 3 1 +5 +3.1 12
6 Eibar 7 3 2 2 +4 11
7 Valladolid 7 3 2 2 +3 +2.3 11
8 Las Palmas 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Almeria 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Huesca 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Sp Gijon 7 3 0 4 -1 9
12 Castellon 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Malaga 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Albacete 7 2 2 3 -2 8
15 Ceuta 7 2 2 3 -5 -2.3 8
16 Leganes 7 1 4 2 +0 7
17 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
18 Cultural Leonesa 7 2 1 4 -5 -3.1 7
19 Sociedad B 7 1 3 3 -2 6
20 Zaragoza 7 1 3 3 -3 6
21 Cordoba 7 1 3 3 -4 6
22 Granada 7 1 2 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ceuta Eibar
16′
🟥 Leonardo Buta
16′
ℹ️ Leonardo Buta
VAR: Card upgrade
Kuki Zalazar ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
26′
30′
🔁 A. Rodriguez
↦ A. Ares
Anuar 🟨
43′
1–0 Youness
K. Zalazar
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Martinez
↦ A. Garrido
46′
🔁 Javier Marton
↦ J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
S. Sanchez 🔁
↦ Anuar
71′
A. Escudero 🔁
↦ K. Kone
78′
K. de la Fuente 🔁
↦ K. Zalazar
78′
79′
🔁 J. Guruzeta
↦ S. Cubero
81′
🟨 José Corpas
84′
🔁 A. Arbilla
↦ J. Corpas
Rubén Díez 🟨
88′
Y. Bodiger 🔁
↦ Jamelli
89′
S. Obeng 🔁
↦ M. Fernandez Sanchez
90′
Konrad de la Fuente 🟨
92′
Salvi Sánchez 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ceuta

4-3-3
13 G. Vallejo G
23 Anuar D
6 C. Hernandez D
15 D. Gonzalez D
3 Matos Jose D
8 K. Zalazar M
5 Youness M
19 Jamelli M
7 A. Ahmed
9 M. Fernandez Sanchez F
22 K. Kone F
Bench (12)
20 A. Escudero
12 S. Obeng
24 Y. Cantero
26 A. Bassinga
25 S. Sanchez
10 C. Rodriguez
18 K. de la Fuente
4 A. Caparros
1 P. Lopez
21 M. Vallejo
14 Y. Bodiger
16 C. Redruello Nimo

Coach: Antonio José Poveda Sánchez

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
2 S. Cubero D
21 M. Moreno D
8 P. Nolaskoain D
24 L. Buta D
6 S. Alvarez M
30 A. Garrido M
17 J. Corpas M
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia M
18 A. Ares M
9 J. Bautista F
Bench (11)
1 L. Lopez
3 H. Arrillaga
5 J. Martinez
7 X. Alkain
10 J. Guruzeta
14 L. Olaetxea
15 Jair
19 T. Villa
20 Javier Marton
22 A. Rodriguez
23 A. Arbilla

Coach: Beñat San José Gil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
U
3,03
B
2,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.