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Europa League
Referee: Luís Godinho
Fenerbahce
U S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,08 xG 1,69
63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 5
7 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Aston Villa
25′
⚽ J. Sancho 0–1
Dorgeles Nene 🟨
44′
Jayden Oosterwolde 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Lucas Digne
Y. E. Demir 🔁
↦ N. Semedo
56′
Talisca 🔁
↦ D. Nene
56′
66′
ℹ️ İsmail Yüksek
VAR: Goal cancelled
E. Alvarez 🔁
↦ I. Yuksek
73′
75′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ J. Sancho
75′
🔁 I. Maatsen
↦ M. Cash
75′
🔁 A. Onana
↦ E. Buendia
75′
🔁 E. Guessand
↦ M. Rogers
Kerem Aktürkoğlu ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
77′
77′
🟨 Victor Lindelöf
Mert Müldür 🟨
79′
Milan Škriniar 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 Youri Tielemans
92′
🔁 G. Hemmings
↦ Y. Tielemans
95′
🟨 Lamare Bogarde
98′
🟨 Evann Guessand
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
18 M. Muldur D
37 M. Skriniar D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
27 N. Semedo D
5 I. Yuksek M
7 Fred M
45 D. Nene M
21 M. Asensio M
9 K. Akturkoglu M
10 J. Duran F
Bench (8)
13 T. Cetin
39 E. Biterge
4 C. Soyuncu
11 E. Alvarez
14 Y. E. Demir
70 O. Aydin
94 Talisca
96 H. Karatas

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
2 M. Cash D
3 V. Lindelof D
5 T. Mings D
12 L. Digne D
26 L. Bogarde M
8 Y. Tielemans M
19 J. Sancho M
27 M. Rogers M
10 E. Buendia M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (11)
52 S. Proctor
64 J. Wright
4 E. Konsa
14 P. Torres
16 A. Garcia
20 J. Jimoh-Aloba
22 I. Maatsen
24 A. Onana
29 E. Guessand
51 K. Young
53 G. Hemmings

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luís Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.