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Süper Lig
Referee: M Turkmen
Alanyaspor
T U U U S
2–3
Full-time
Fenerbahce
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
24%
65%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
29%
59%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
59%
Average goals
1,8
3,1
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,67 xG 2,30
45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 10. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 18 13 4 1 +27 +19.6 43
2 Fenerbahce 17 11 6 0 +25 +21.5 39
3 Trabzonspor 18 11 5 2 +14 +1.5 38
4 Goztep 17 9 5 3 +12 +3.4 32
5 Besiktas 17 8 5 4 +8 +16.1 29
6 Buyuksehyr 18 7 5 6 +10 +0.6 26
7 Samsunspor 18 6 8 4 +2 +7.2 26
8 Gaziantep 18 6 6 6 -6 -2.1 24
9 Kocaelispor 18 6 5 7 -3 +0.1 23
10 Alanyaspor 17 4 9 4 +1 -3.4 21
11 Genclerbirligi 18 5 4 9 -3 -8.7 19
12 Rizespor 17 4 6 7 -4 +0.8 18
13 Konyaspor 17 4 5 8 -8 -6.1 17
14 Kasimpasa 18 3 7 8 -10 -9.9 16
15 Antalyaspor 18 4 4 10 -15 -11.1 16
16 Kayserispor 17 2 9 6 -17 -9.2 15
17 Eyüpspor 17 3 4 10 -14 -7.2 13
18 Karagumruk 18 2 3 13 -19 -13.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Fenerbahce
1–0 F. Hadergjonaj
Hwang Ui-Jo
3′
9′
Talisca 1–1
2–1 G. Makouta
F. Hadergjonaj
27′
Efecan Karaca 🟨
28′
Gaius Makouta 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Y. E. Demir
↦ N. Semedo
52′
A. Musaba 2–2
62′
🔁 Fred
↦ I. Yuksek
62′
🔁 J. Duran
↦ K. Akturkoglu
74′
🔁 D. Nene
↦ A. Musaba
I. Kaya 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
77′
G. Yalcin 🔁
↦ U. Ogundu
77′
78′
Talisca 2–3
M. Asensio
M. Elia 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
87′
S. Mounie 🔁
↦ U. Akdag
87′
92′
🔁 E. Alvarez
↦ M. Guendouzi
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-2-1
1 E. Taskiran G
3 N. Lima D
5 F. Aliti D
50 U. Akdag D
94 F. Hadergjonaj M
42 G. Makouta M
58 Maestro M
11 Ruan M
7 E. Karaca F
16 Hwang Ui-Jo F
22 U. Ogundu F
Bench (8)
48 Paulo Victor
18 B. Mogultay
20 F. Aksoy
2 B. Yavuz
27 I. Kaya
12 M. Elia
9 S. Mounie
10 G. Yalcin

Coach: Joao Pereira

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
27 N. Semedo D
37 M. Skriniar D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
18 M. Muldur D
6 M. Guendouzi M
5 I. Yuksek M
20 A. Musaba M
21 M. Asensio M
9 K. Akturkoglu M
94 Talisca F
Bench (10)
13 T. Cetin
34 M. Gunok
4 C. Soyuncu
7 Fred
10 J. Duran
11 E. Alvarez
14 Y. E. Demir
28 B. Elmaz
45 D. Nene
70 O. Aydin

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,08
U
4,06
B ✓
1,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Turkmen · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.