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Super League
Referee: P Tsagarakis
2–2
Full-time
PAOK
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
17%
57%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
30%
39%
Both score Ø 29%
22%
35%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 9
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 11. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 24 18 3 3 +22 57
2 AEK 22 17 2 3 +37 53
3 PAOK 23 13 8 2 +20 47
4 Olympiakos 23 13 7 3 +23 46
5 Volos NFC 24 11 5 8 -6 38
6 Aris Thessalonikis 22 9 4 9 +9 31
7 Aris 22 9 4 9 +9 31
8 Panetolikos 23 7 6 10 -5 27
9 Atromitos 22 6 8 8 -1 26
10 OFI Crete 23 5 9 9 -5 24
11 Asteras Tripolis 23 4 10 9 -13 22
12 Giannina 23 4 9 10 -18 21
13 Ionikos 24 4 6 14 -18 18
14 Levadeiakos 23 2 8 13 -19 14
15 Lamia 23 1 9 13 -35 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
6′
I. Näsberg 0–1
Nélson Oliveira
Dani Santafé 🟨
15′
Half-time 0–1
M. Gardawski 🔁
↦ Rubén García
46′
63′
🟨 Ivan Näsberg
68′
🔁 Brandon Thomas
↦ Nélson Oliveira
69′
🔁 D. Biseswar
↦ I. Konstantelias
G. Prountzos 🔁
↦ Dani Santafé
70′
Léo Tilica 🔁
↦ Adrián Riera
77′
77′
🔁 Taison
↦ A. Živković
82′
Brandon Thomas 0–2
Rafa Soares
C. Tasoulis 🔁
↦ F. Álvarez
87′
G. Kosteas 🔁
↦ J. Barrales
87′
88′
🔁 T. Kędziora
↦ Joan Sastre
88′
🔁 Filipe Soares
↦ Douglas Augusto
1–2 Sito
Xesc Regis
90′
92′
🟨 Živko Živković
2–2 Pichu Atienza
C. Tasoulis
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
2 Rubén García D
18 Pichu Atienza D
19 Pepe Castaño D
29 F. Álvarez D
14 Dani Santafé M
69 O. Adefunyibomi M
11 Xesc Regis M
23 Adrián Riera M
40 Sito M
9 J. Barrales F
Bench (9)
25 M. Gardawski
64 G. Prountzos
7 Léo Tilica
3 C. Tasoulis
97 G. Kosteas
12 David Carmona
20 F. Bertoglio
87 E. Zukanović
99 A. Tsiftsis

Coach: I. Metaxas

PAOK

4-2-3-1
18 Ž. Živković G
23 Joan Sastre D
4 S. Ingason D
3 I. Näsberg D
55 Rafa Soares D
8 Douglas Augusto M
22 S. Schwab M
77 K. Narey M
65 I. Konstantelias M
14 A. Živković M
9 Nélson Oliveira F
Bench (9)
71 Brandon Thomas
21 D. Biseswar
11 Taison
16 T. Kędziora
50 Filipe Soares
2 G. Kargas
31 André Ricardo
26 Tiago Dantas
64 C. Talichmanidis

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,49
U ✓
3,35
B
1,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Tsagarakis · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.