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Super League
Referee: E Gortsilas
Olympiakos
S S U S U
6–1
Full-time
Panetolikos
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 44%
57%
30%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 46%
43%
48%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

70% Possession 30%
16 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 4. · Panetolikos 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 24 18 3 3 +22 57
2 AEK 23 18 2 3 +40 56
3 PAOK 24 13 9 2 +20 48
4 Olympiakos 23 13 7 3 +23 46
5 Volos NFC 24 11 5 8 -6 38
6 Aris Thessalonikis 22 9 4 9 +9 31
7 Aris 22 9 4 9 +9 31
8 Panetolikos 23 7 6 10 -5 27
9 Atromitos 22 6 8 8 -1 26
10 OFI Crete 23 5 9 9 -5 24
11 Asteras Tripolis 24 4 11 9 -13 23
12 Giannina 23 4 9 10 -18 21
13 Ionikos 24 4 6 14 -18 18
14 Levadeiakos 24 2 8 14 -22 14
15 Lamia 23 1 9 13 -35 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Panetolikos
1–0 C. Bakambu
Rodinei
9′
42′
🟨 Jonathan Morsay
2–0 S. Papastathopoulos
K. Fortounis
45′
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 Georgios Liavas
50′
N. Karelis 2–1
D. Kolovos
O. Ba 🔁
↦ P. Retsos
57′
Sergi Canós 🔁
↦ Garry Rodrigues
58′
3–1 J. Rodríguez
K. Fortounis
61′
4–1 Sergi Canós
67′
Sergi Canós 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 J. Mårtensson
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
69′
🔁 K. Apostolakis
↦ G. Liavas
5–1 J. Rodríguez
75′
P. Kasami 🔁
↦ Hwang In-Beom
77′
M. Valbuena 🔁
↦ J. Rodríguez
77′
78′
🔁 N. Dago
↦ J. Morsay
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
79′
83′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ N. Karelis
83′
🔁 I. Bouzoukis
↦ D. Kolovos
6–1 M. Valbuena
Y. El-Arabi
90′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-2-2
91 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
4 P. Retsos D
2 Ramon D
6 Y. M'Vila M
33 Hwang In-Beom M
77 Garry Rodrigues M
7 K. Fortounis M
94 C. Bakambu F
10 J. Rodríguez F
Bench (9)
24 O. Ba
47 Sergi Canós
27 P. Kasami
28 M. Valbuena
11 Y. El-Arabi
19 G. Masouras
88 K. Tzolakis
38 D. Samassékou
14 T. Androutsos

Coach: Míchel

Panetolikos

4-3-3
99 V. Kontogiannis G
54 G. Liavas D
16 J. Une-Larsson D
3 D. Houhoumis D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
11 J. Díaz M
5 S. Mladen M
22 D. Kolovos M
14 Frederico Duarte F
7 N. Karelis F
25 J. Morsay F
Bench (9)
17 J. Mårtensson
2 K. Apostolakis
10 N. Dago
9 João Pedro
18 I. Bouzoukis
32 A. Stergiakis
23 G. Xenitidis
37 A. Tsingaras
49 N. Stajić

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
7,45
B
19,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Gortsilas · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
34,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.