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Super League
Referee: G Tzovaras
PAOK
U S S S T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Super League · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 41%
51%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
51%
33%
Both score Ø 48%
49%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
7 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 2. · Asteras Tripolis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 39 29 8 2 +62 95
2 PAOK 39 20 11 8 +29 71
3 AEK 39 19 9 11 +9 66
4 Aris 36 17 10 9 +15 61
5 Aris Thessalonikis 35 17 9 9 +15 60
6 Panathinaikos 39 15 12 12 +9 57
7 Asteras Tripolis 39 12 16 11 -5 52
8 Volos NFC 35 10 13 12 -6 43
9 Atromitos 35 8 14 13 -13 38
10 Lamia 35 9 11 15 -21 38
11 Giannina 34 9 10 15 -7 37
12 OFI Crete 35 8 8 19 -21 32
13 Apollon 34 8 7 19 -15 31
14 Panetolikos 35 6 11 18 -25 29
15 Larisa 35 6 9 20 -26 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Asteras Tripolis
28′
R. Gómez 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Amr Warda 🔁
↦ I. Konstantelias
46′
José Crespo 🔁
↦ E. Mihaj
46′
46′
🔁 G. Kanellopoulos
↦ R. Gómez
46′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ S. Baba
62′
🔁 F. Álvarez
↦ Sito
M. Krmenčík 🔁
↦ K. Świderski
63′
N. Ninua 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
64′
Rodrigo Alves 🔁
↦ Fernando Varela
64′
77′
🟨 Pepe Castaño
82′
🟨 Federico Alvarez
Amr Warda 🟨
86′
93′
🔁 G. Christopoulos
↦ F. Bellocq
93′
🔁 A. Kardaris
↦ P. Tzimas
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

PAOK

3-4-3
31 Alexandros Paschalakis G
6 Enea Mihaj D
5 Fernando Varela D
49 Ioannis Michailidis D
19 Lefteris Lyratzis D
22 Stefan Schwab M
51 Theocharis Tsingaras M
16 Adrian Nilsen Pereira D
65 Giannis Konstantelias M
9 Karol Świderski F
11 Christos Tzolis F
Bench (9)
88 Živko Živković
15 José Ángel Crespo
46 Kyriakos Giaxis
32 Nika Ninua
2 Rodrigo
29 Georgios Vrakas
70 Georgios Koutsias
27 Michael Krmenčík
8 Amr Warda

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
99 Antonis Tsiftsis G
2 Rubén García D
15 Dani Suarez D
19 Pepe Castaño D
3 Christos Tasoulis M
6 Jose Luis Valiente Gimenez M
14 Franco Bellocq M
97 Sudais Ali Baba F
20 Rodrigo Gómez M
40 Sito F
21 Panagiotis Tzimas M
Bench (8)
1 Nikolaos Papadopoulos
29 Federico Alvarez
45 Giannis Christopoulos
27 Giannis Kotsiras
4 Triantafyllos Pasalidis
24 Giorgos Kanelopoulos
43 Alexandros Kardaris
92 Athanasios Michopoulos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,33
U
5,09
B ✓
8,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Tzovaras · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
33,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.