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Super League
Panathinaikos
T S S U U
2–0
Full-time
Aris
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Super League · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 57%
64%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
68%
42%
Both score Ø 41%
40%
42%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 5
18 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Aris 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 26 18 7 1 +36 61
2 Olympiakos 27 19 3 5 +35 60
3 PAOK 26 17 4 5 +40 55
4 Panathinaikos 25 16 4 5 +37 52
5 Aris Thessalonikis 24 12 5 7 +12 41
6 Aris 24 12 5 7 +12 41
7 Lamia 27 10 8 9 -6 38
8 Asteras Tripolis 27 10 4 13 -9 34
9 Atromitos 27 7 9 11 -15 30
10 OFI Crete 27 6 9 12 -18 27
11 Panserraikos 26 5 10 11 -17 25
12 Volos NFC 27 4 8 15 -26 20
13 Panetolikos 27 4 7 16 -27 19
14 Kifisia 27 3 10 14 -29 19
15 Giannina 27 3 9 15 -25 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
3,90
B
5,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.