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Serie B
Referee: D Minelli
Pisa
T U S T T
2–2
Full-time
Modena
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
27%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 64%
65%
62%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
5 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 15. · Modena 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 27 16 8 3 +23 56
2 Cremonese 27 14 8 5 +17 50
3 Como 27 14 7 6 +8 49
4 Venezia 26 14 6 6 +15 48
5 Palermo 27 13 7 7 +15 46
6 Catanzaro 27 13 6 8 +7 45
7 Cittadella 26 10 6 10 -2 36
8 Brescia 27 8 11 8 +1 35
9 Modena 26 8 11 7 -3 35
10 Cosenza 27 8 9 10 +1 33
11 Bari 27 7 12 8 -5 33
12 Sampdoria 27 9 6 12 -7 33
13 Sudtirol 27 8 8 11 -3 32
14 Reggiana 27 6 14 7 -3 32
15 Pisa 26 7 9 10 -2 30
16 Ternana 27 7 8 12 -3 29
17 Ascoli 27 6 9 12 -6 27
18 Spezia 26 5 11 10 -13 26
19 FeralpiSalo 26 5 6 15 -15 21
20 Lecco 27 5 6 16 -25 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Modena
Miguel Veloso 🔁
↦ A. Barberis
19′
Mattia Valoti 🟨
22′
39′
🟨 Simone Santoro
1–0 J. Mlakar
A. Caracciolo
42′
Half-time 1–1
48′
F. Abiuso 1–1
A. Seculin
49′
🔁 F. Ponsi
↦ S. Santoro
50′
🟨 Thomas Battistella
55′
🔁 L. Strizzolo
↦ E. Gliozzi
55′
🔁 L. Magnino
↦ T. Battistella
Mattia Valoti 🟨
60′
Mattia Valoti 🟥
60′
I. Touré 🔁
↦ L. Tramoni
62′
T. Barbieri 🔁
↦ P. Beruatto
63′
68′
🟨 Antonio Palumbo
73′
🔁 E. Duca
↦ A. Palumbo
73′
🔁 J. Manconi
↦ N. Corrado
74′
L. Strizzolo 1–2
75′
ℹ️ Luca Strizzolo
VAR: Goal confirmed
78′
🟨 Edoardo Duca
S. Moreo 🔁
↦ N. Bonfanti
81′
G. Masucci 🔁
↦ G. Piccinini
81′
Antonio Caracciolo 🟨
82′
2–2 S. Canestrelli
Miguel Veloso
84′
93′
🟨 Luca Strizzolo
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Pisa

4-2-3-1
22 L. Loria G
33 A. Calabresi D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
20 P. Beruatto D
36 G. Piccinini M
51 A. Barberis M
7 L. Tramoni M
27 M. Valoti M
17 J. Mlakar M
9 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
44 Miguel Veloso
15 I. Touré
42 T. Barbieri
32 S. Moreo
26 G. Masucci
16 M. Sala
1 Nícolas
19 Tomás Esteves
77 M. D'Alessandro
3 M. Leverbe
14 M. Trdan
34 M. Campani

Coach: A. Aquilani

Modena

3-4-2-1
12 A. Seculin G
27 A. Riccio D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
8 S. Santoro M
16 F. Gerli M
23 T. Battistella M
91 N. Corrado M
90 F. Abiuso F
5 A. Palumbo F
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (12)
3 F. Ponsi
32 L. Strizzolo
6 L. Magnino
7 E. Duca
17 J. Manconi
26 R. Gagno
30 K. Bozhanaj
73 L. Di Stefano
4 A. Pergreffi
99 S. Oukhadda
42 L. Mondele
10 L. Tremolada

Coach: P. Bianco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
3,11
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Minelli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.