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Super League
Referee: S Jablonski
Panathinaikos
S S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
This season — Super League · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 68%
67%
68%
Points per game
2,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
71%
68%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,4
2,2
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Olympiakos 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 23 16 3 4 +41 51
2 AEK 22 15 6 1 +29 51
3 Olympiakos 22 15 3 4 +28 48
4 Panathinaikos 21 14 2 5 +32 44
5 Aris Thessalonikis 21 10 4 7 +8 34
6 Aris 21 10 4 7 +8 34
7 Lamia 23 9 7 7 -3 34
8 Asteras Tripolis 23 10 2 11 -7 32
9 Atromitos 22 6 8 8 -12 26
10 Panserraikos 23 5 9 9 -10 24
11 OFI Crete 23 5 8 10 -16 23
12 Volos NFC 22 3 7 12 -23 16
13 Kifisia 23 3 7 13 -26 16
14 Panetolikos 23 3 6 14 -25 15
15 Giannina 22 2 6 14 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
6′
🟨 Francisco Ortega
1–0 Bernard
25′
Willian Arão 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Quini
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
46′
🔁 K. Fortounis
↦ O. Richards
46′
🔁 A. El Kaabi
↦ F. Ortega
2–0 A. Jeremejeff
60′
F. Mladenović 🔁
↦ Juankar
62′
70′
🔁 Daniel Podence
↦ Fran Navarro
74′
🟨 Quini
77′
🟨 Santiago Hezze
77′
🔁 André Horta
↦ S. Hezze
F. Đuričić 🔁
↦ A. Jeremejeff
80′
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ S. Palacios
80′
S. Akaydin 🔁
↦ A. Bakasetas
90′
T. Vilhena 🔁
↦ Bernard
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
69 B. Drągowski G
27 G. Kotsiras D
21 T. Jedvaj D
55 Willian Arão D
3 Juankar D
4 Rubén Pérez M
16 A. Čerin M
34 S. Palacios M
8 A. Bakasetas M
10 Bernard M
29 A. Jeremejeff F
Bench (9)
25 F. Mladenović
31 F. Đuričić
17 D. Mancini
94 S. Akaydin
52 T. Vilhena
20 Vitor Hugo
6 Zeca
12 Y. Lodygin
11 D. Limnios

Coach: F. Terim

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
74 A. Ntoi D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
6 Chiquinho M
19 G. Masouras M
15 S. Alexandropoulos M
27 O. Richards M
29 Fran Navarro F
Bench (9)
18 Quini
7 K. Fortounis
9 A. El Kaabi
56 Daniel Podence
5 André Horta
88 K. Tzolakis
20 João Carvalho
36 N. Abbey
22 S. Jovetić

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,07
B
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.