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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Krasny

Stal Mielec

U T S S U

1–0

Full-time

LKS Lodz

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec LKS Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 24%

38%

10%

Points per game

1,4

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

3 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 8. · LKS Lodz 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	22	12	6	4	+19	+8.9	42
2	Slask Wroclaw	22	12	6	4	+14	+3.3	42
3	Lech Poznan	22	11	7	4	+10	-2.6	40
4	Pogon Szczecin	22	12	3	7	+18	+12.8	39
5	Legia	22	10	7	5	+7	+8.3	37
6	Rakow	21	10	6	5	+14	+14.6	36
7	Gornik Zabrze	22	9	5	8	+3	-2.6	32
8	Stal Mielec	21	8	5	8	-2	-8.0	29
9	Widzew Lodz	22	8	4	10	-3	-1.9	28
10	Zaglebie	22	7	6	9	-11	+1.9	27
11	Cracovia	22	5	11	6	+0	-0.5	26
12	Piast Gliwice	21	4	13	4	+0	+10.5	25
13	Radomiak Radom	22	6	7	9	-9	-1.4	25
14	Warta Poznan	22	5	9	8	-5	-7.4	24
15	Korona Kielce	21	4	10	7	-3	-2.5	22
16	Puszcza	21	5	7	9	-11	-14.9	22
17	Ruch Chorzow	22	1	12	9	-13	-7.2	15
18	LKS Lodz	21	2	4	15	-28	-11.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	8	3	0	+19	+11.2	27
2	Jagiellonia	11	8	2	1	+18	+9.2	26
3	Lech Poznan	12	7	3	2	+12	+1.3	24
4	Legia	11	6	3	2	+9	+9.6	21
5	Gornik Zabrze	10	6	2	2	+5	-1.8	20
6	Stal Mielec	10	5	3	2	+6	-1.0	18
7	Slask Wroclaw	11	5	3	3	+6	+5.9	18
8	Widzew Lodz	11	6	0	5	-1	+4.2	18
9	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	2	4	+5	+12.7	17
10	Puszcza	11	4	5	2	+0	-4.7	17
11	Zaglebie	11	4	4	3	-1	+0.2	16
12	Korona Kielce	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.7	14
13	Cracovia	11	3	5	3	+2	+0.4	14
14	Piast Gliwice	10	3	5	2	+2	+7.8	14
15	Radomiak Radom	11	2	5	4	-3	-0.1	11
16	Warta Poznan	11	2	4	5	-4	-3.3	10
17	LKS Lodz	11	2	4	5	-11	-8.7	10
18	Ruch Chorzow	11	1	6	4	-5	-1.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	11	7	3	1	+8	-2.6	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	1	3	+13	+0.0	22
3	Jagiellonia	11	4	4	3	+1	-0.3	16
4	Legia	11	4	4	3	-2	-1.2	16
5	Lech Poznan	10	4	4	2	-2	-3.8	16
6	Warta Poznan	11	3	5	3	-1	-4.1	14
7	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-6	-1.3	14
8	Gornik Zabrze	12	3	3	6	-2	-0.8	12
9	Cracovia	11	2	6	3	-2	-0.9	12
10	Piast Gliwice	11	1	8	2	-2	+2.7	11
11	Stal Mielec	11	3	2	6	-8	-7.0	11
12	Zaglebie	11	3	2	6	-10	+1.7	11
13	Widzew Lodz	11	2	4	5	-2	-6.1	10
14	Rakow	10	2	3	5	-5	+3.4	9
15	Korona Kielce	11	1	5	5	-6	-8.2	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	11	0	6	5	-8	-5.8	6
17	Puszcza	10	1	2	7	-11	-10.2	5
18	LKS Lodz	10	0	0	10	-17	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.