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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Aberdeen
U T U U T
0–2
Full-time
ST Johnstone
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 21%
23%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
37%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · ST Johnstone 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 27 22 1 4 +48 67
2 Celtic 27 20 5 2 +42 65
3 Hearts 27 16 3 8 +8 51
4 Kilmarnock 27 10 10 7 +4 40
5 St Mirren 28 11 6 11 +1 39
6 Dundee 26 8 8 10 -5 32
7 Hibernian 26 7 9 10 -9 30
8 Aberdeen 26 6 9 11 -12 27
9 Motherwell 27 5 11 11 -8 26
10 ST Johnstone 27 5 9 13 -20 24
11 Ross County 27 5 8 14 -22 23
12 Livingston 27 3 7 17 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jan -24 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 1–1 8. Oct -23 Aberdeen – ST Johnstone 0–0 1. Apr -23 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 7. Jan -23 Aberdeen – ST Johnstone 2–0 20. Aug -22 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1

Match report

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
44′
⚽ N. Clark 0–1
Half-time 0–1
J. MacKenzie 🔁
↦ R. Jensen
46′
60′
🟨 Sven Sprangler
J. Hoilett 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
61′
Duk 🔁
↦ J. Hayes
61′
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
72′
77′
⚽ B. Mbunga Kimpioka 0–2
D. Jaiyesimi
78′
🟨 Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
80′
🔁 M. Kucheriavyi
↦ N. Clark
80′
🔁 T. Gallacher
↦ D. Keltjens
J. McGarry 🔁
↦ J. MacKenzie
82′
86′
🔁 G. Carey
↦ D. Jaiyesimi
86′
🔁 S. May
↦ B. Mbunga Kimpioka
88′
🟨 Maksym Kucheriavyi
91′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ M. Smith
92′
🟨 Daniel Phillips
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-2-1
24 K. Roos G
6 S. Gartenmann D
27 A. MacDonald D
5 R. Jensen D
28 J. Milne M
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
17 J. Hayes M
7 J. McGrath F
10 L. Clarkson F
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
3 J. MacKenzie
30 J. Hoilett
11 Duk
18 K. Phillips
15 J. McGarry
19 E. Sokler
2 N. Devlin
21 D. Polvara
31 R. Doohan

Coach: N. Warnock

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
33 D. Keltjens D
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
19 L. Robinson D
23 S. Sprangler M
34 D. Phillips M
22 M. Smith M
10 N. Clark M
13 D. Jaiyesimi M
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka F
Bench (9)
15 M. Kucheriavyi
3 T. Gallacher
11 G. Carey
7 S. May
50 C. Smith
31 D. Richards
46 F. Franczak
35 K. Smith
4 A. Considine

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,66
🔒
U
3,74
🔒
B ✓
5,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,99
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.