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Ligue 2

Referee: T Bouille

Red Star

U T T

1–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

5 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

0 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Red Star 16. · Ajaccio 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Metz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Martigues	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Grenoble	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Laval	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Dunkerque	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Caen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Martigues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Dunkerque	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Metz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Dunkerque	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.